Daily Briefing · September 19, 2026 · Post-US Market [PT-BR]

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

September 19, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

NEUTRAL

Overall AI Stance · Score +10

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

NEUTRAL

Macro geral: NEUTRAL (pontuação +10).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +10NEUTRAL

Sahm Rule

-0.07

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.25

Narrowing-5

10Y−3M Spread

0.87

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.7

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

56 · Greed

Balanced0

DXY

100.2

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.1

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread-5 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 · Unemp+5 = +10

NEUTRAL

Sinais mistos — posicionamento equilibrado recomendado

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-09-18

7,650.50

SIDEWAYS

-0.1% vs MA20 · Sideways

MA20Below (7,659)

ADX12 — Weak

TrendSideways

Bitcoin · data 2026-09-18

81,258.15

BULL

+4.0% vs MA20 · Strong BULL

MA20Above (78,165)

ADX41 — Strong

TrendStrong BULL

VIX · data 2026-09-18

14.81

Low

-4.1% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Technology leading

Tecnologia (XLK)

+3.5%×1.05

Energia (XLE)

+0.9%×1.05

Saúde (XLV)

-2.3%×1.05

Comunicações (XLC)

+0.1%×1.00

Financeiro (XLF)

-1.9%×1.00

Consumo Básico (XLP)

-3.0%×1.00

Materiais (XLB)

-4.6%×1.00

Consumo Disc. (XLY)

-4.8%×1.00

Industrial (XLI)

-5.6%×0.90

Imobiliário (XLRE)

-5.7%×0.90

Utilidades (XLU)

-6.1%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalEconomic expansion — Tech·Consumer·Industrials leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 0 · SELL 0 · HOLD 10

SPY

GCS · 1d

HOLD

761.69

Entry / SL / TP

761.69 / 731.22 / 773.12

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro, sideways market, technical hold signal.

AAPL

GCS · 1d

HOLD

336.13

Entry / SL / TP

336.13 / 331.09 / 349.58

Confidence

52%

50→52

Neutral macro/market, leading tech sector.

NVDA

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

222.27

Entry / SL / TP

222.27 / 209.46 / 247.90

Confidence

42%

40→42

Neutral macro, sideways market, HOLD signal

TSM

GCS · 1d

HOLD

434.67

Entry / SL / TP

434.67 / 428.15 / 452.06

Confidence

55%

55→55

Neutral macro/market, leading tech, GCS HOLD signal.

MELI

GCS · 1d

HOLD

1,787.39

Entry / SL / TP

1,787.39 / 1,823.14 / 1,698.02

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro, sideways market, technical hold

005930.KS

GCS · 1d

HOLD

261,000

Entry / SL / TP

261,000 / 257,085 / 271,440

Confidence

50%

50→50

Neutral macro/market. Tech leading. Technical HOLD.

BTC-USD

MTF_ORDERFLOW · 15m

HOLD

81,253

Entry / SL / TP

81,253 / 77,183 / 89,370

Confidence

40%

40→40

Technical HOLD; strategy conditions not met.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

HOLD

2,628.21

Entry / SL / TP

2,628.21 / 2,588.79 / 2,759.62

Confidence

55%

55→55

Bullish crypto market & tech. Neutral macro. HOLD signal. [신뢰도 55%<60%→HOLD]

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

HOLD

1.4023

Entry / SL / TP

1.4023 / 1.2901 / 1.6267

Confidence

50%

50→50

AI_VWAP HOLD signal, neutral macro, mixed market phase

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

113.21

Entry / SL / TP

113.21 / 104.15 / 131.32

Confidence

50%

50→50

Neutral macro, BULL crypto. Tech leads. HOLD.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP09/18 22:07HOLD209.45

ASML09/18 22:07HOLD1,679.92

PBR09/18 22:07HOLD20.8000

VALE09/18 22:06HOLD14.2100

SHIB-USD09/18 22:06HOLD0.000006

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →