Daily Briefing · June 29, 2026 · Post-US Market

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

June 29, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +30

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

Overall macro: RISK-ON (score +30).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +30RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

0.1

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.31

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.55

Normal+5

CPI YoY

4.3

High Inflation-15

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

18 · Extreme Fear

Contrarian Buy+10

DXY

101.4

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.3

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-15 · FG+10 · Unemp+5 = +30

RISK-ON

Risk appetite elevated — growth assets favored

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-06-26

7,354.02

BEAR

-1.3% vs MA20 · Weak BEAR

MA20Below (7,455)

ADX22 — Weak

TrendWeak BEAR

Bitcoin · data 2026-06-28

59,412.97

BEAR

-5.5% vs MA20 · Strong BEAR

MA20Below (62,863)

ADX36 — Strong

TrendStrong BEAR

VIX · data 2026-06-26

18.41

Normal

-2.5% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Healthcare leading

Healthcare (XLV)

+6.7%×1.05

Financials (XLF)

+4.8%×1.05

Industrials (XLI)

+4.5%×1.05

Utilities (XLU)

+4.2%×1.00

Real Estate (XLRE)

+2.8%×1.00

Consumer Staples (XLP)

+1.0%×1.00

Materials (XLB)

+0.8%×1.00

Technology (XLK)

-3.0%×1.00

Energy (XLE)

-4.8%×0.90

Consumer Disc. (XLY)

-6.1%×0.90

Communication (XLC)

-8.8%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalDefensive rotation — Staples·Utilities·Healthcare leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 0 · SELL 0 · HOLD 10

SPY

GCS · 1d

HOLD

728.99

Entry / SL / TP

728.99 / 699.83 / 739.92

Confidence

50%

45→50

Mixed signals: RISK-ON macro, but sideways market phase & technical HOLD.

AAPL

GCS · 1d

HOLD

283.78

Entry / SL / TP

283.78 / 272.43 / 288.04

Confidence

55%

50→55

RSI low, below centerline, sideways market phase.

NVDA

GCS · 1d

HOLD

192.53

Entry / SL / TP

192.53 / 196.38 / 182.90

Confidence

47%

43→47

Sideways market, neutral tech sector, RSI weak.

TSM

GCS · 1d

HOLD

432.35

Entry / SL / TP

432.35 / 415.06 / 438.84

Confidence

50%

45→50

Neutral market phase, weak TA signal, HOLD strategy.

MELI

GCS · 1d

HOLD

1,675.10

Entry / SL / TP

1,675.10 / 1,758.85 / 1,641.60

Confidence

41%

37→41

Sideways market, technical HOLD signal. RISK-ON macro neutral.

005930.KS

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

339,500

Entry / SL / TP

339,500 / 388,924 / 265,364

Confidence

50%

45→50

Bear market, mixed signals. Hold strategy.

BTC-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

59,734

Entry / SL / TP

59,734 / 55,392 / 68,417

Confidence

50%

45→50

Technical HOLD signal despite RISK-ON macro & stable rates.

ETH-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

HOLD

1,576.12

Entry / SL / TP

1,576.12 / 1,450.03 / 1,828.30

Confidence

55%

50→55

Bearish crypto market overrides bullish macro.

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

1.0476

Entry / SL / TP

1.0476 / 0.963792 / 1.2152

Confidence

38%

35→38

AI_VWAP HOLD signal, BEAR market, RSI low

SOL-USD

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

71.1700

Entry / SL / TP

71.1700 / 78.7950 / 59.7325

Confidence

55%

50→55

Bear market dominance despite risk-on macro. Hold.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP06/28 22:07HOLD155.09

ASML06/28 22:07HOLD1,794.62

PBR06/28 22:07HOLD16.2900

VALE06/28 22:07HOLD15.0700

SHIB-USD06/28 22:07HOLD0.000004

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

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