ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING
June 29, 2026
Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis
Overall AI Stance · Score +30
전반적인 거시경제: RISK-ON (점수 +30).
Sahm Rule
0.1
10Y−2Y Spread
0.31
10Y−3M Spread
0.55
CPI YoY
4.3
Fed Funds Rate
3.63
Fear & Greed
18 · Extreme Fear
DXY
101.4
Unemployment
4.3
위험 선호도 상승 — 성장 자산 선호
S&P 500 · data 2026-06-26
7,354.02
-1.3% vs MA20 · Weak BEAR
Bitcoin · data 2026-06-28
59,412.97
-5.5% vs MA20 · Strong BEAR
VIX · data 2026-06-26
18.41
-2.5% 1d · Volatility Index
SPY
GCS · 1d
728.99
Entry / SL / TP
728.99 / 699.83 / 739.92
Confidence
50%
45→50
Mixed signals: RISK-ON macro, but sideways market phase & technical HOLD.
AAPL
GCS · 1d
283.78
Entry / SL / TP
283.78 / 272.43 / 288.04
Confidence
55%
50→55
RSI low, below centerline, sideways market phase.
NVDA
GCS · 1d
192.53
Entry / SL / TP
192.53 / 196.38 / 182.90
Confidence
47%
43→47
Sideways market, neutral tech sector, RSI weak.
TSM
GCS · 1d
432.35
Entry / SL / TP
432.35 / 415.06 / 438.84
Confidence
50%
45→50
Neutral market phase, weak TA signal, HOLD strategy.
MELI
GCS · 1d
1,675.10
Entry / SL / TP
1,675.10 / 1,758.85 / 1,641.60
Confidence
41%
37→41
Sideways market, technical HOLD signal. RISK-ON macro neutral.
005930.KS
BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d
339,500
Entry / SL / TP
339,500 / 388,924 / 265,364
Confidence
50%
45→50
Bear market, mixed signals. Hold strategy.
BTC-USD
AI_VWAP · 4h
59,734
Entry / SL / TP
59,734 / 55,392 / 68,417
Confidence
50%
45→50
Technical HOLD signal despite RISK-ON macro & stable rates.
ETH-USD
AI_VWAP · 1h
1,576.12
Entry / SL / TP
1,576.12 / 1,450.03 / 1,828.30
Confidence
55%
50→55
Bearish crypto market overrides bullish macro.
XRP-USD
AI_VWAP · 4h
1.0476
Entry / SL / TP
1.0476 / 0.963792 / 1.2152
Confidence
38%
35→38
AI_VWAP HOLD signal, BEAR market, RSI low
SOL-USD
BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d
71.1700
Entry / SL / TP
71.1700 / 78.7950 / 59.7325
Confidence
55%
50→55
Bear market dominance despite risk-on macro. Hold.
SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5
Strategy Performance — Coming Soon