ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING
June 17, 2026
US Market Open · 23:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis
Overall AI Stance · Score +40
Buy signals: SPY (82%), TSM (91%), 005930.KS (94%). Sell signals: NVDA (99%), AAPL (66%). Bullish macro, leading sectors, tech signals. Bullish macro/market, strong leading sectors, positive TA signal. Overall macro: RISK-ON (score +40).
Sahm Rule
0.1
10Y−2Y Spread
0.38
10Y−3M Spread
0.64
CPI YoY
4.3
Fed Funds Rate
3.63
Fear & Greed
22 · Extreme Fear
DXY
99.6
Unemployment
4.3
Risk appetite elevated — growth assets favored
S&P 500 · data 2026-06-17
7,511.18
+0.3% vs MA20 · Weak BULL
Bitcoin · data 2026-06-17
65,133.01
-0.7% vs MA20 · Strong BEAR
KOSPI · data 2026-06-17
8,864.24
+8.9% vs MA20 · Weak BULL
SPY
AI_VWAP · 1d
750.08
Entry / SL / TP
750.08 / 731.87 / 786.50
Confidence
82%
75→82
Bullish macro, leading sectors, tech signals.

NVDA
MA_ALIGN · 1d
207.21
Entry / SL / TP
207.21 / 177.68 / 221.97
Confidence
99%
90→99
Strong technical SELL (75%) via 역배열 완성; market remains BULL.

AAPL
MA_ALIGN · 1d
299.96
Entry / SL / TP
299.96 / 272.34 / 313.78
Confidence
66%
60→66
Strong technical SELL (75%) vs bullish macro/market. Confidence adjusted for conflict.

TSM
AI_VWAP · 1d
434.22
Entry / SL / TP
434.22 / 400.37 / 501.92
Confidence
91%
83→91
Bullish macro/market, strong leading sectors, positive TA signal.

BTC-USD
AI_VWAP · 4h
65,151
Entry / SL / TP
65,151 / 60,958 / 73,538
Confidence
50%
45→50
Mixed market signals, holding despite bullish macro.

ETH-USD
AI_VWAP · 1h
1,758.17
Entry / SL / TP
1,758.17 / 1,617.52 / 2,039.48
Confidence
38%
35→38
Mixed signals: RISK-ON macro, but BEAR crypto market. HOLD strategy.

SOL-USD
BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d
72.2700
Entry / SL / TP
72.2700 / 79.5862 / 61.2957
Confidence
55%
50→55
BEAR crypto market, tech HOLD

XRP-USD
AI_VWAP · 4h
1.2000
Entry / SL / TP
1.2000 / 1.1040 / 1.3920
Confidence
55%
50→55
ML VWAP down, Crypto BEAR, Macro RISK-ON. Hold advised.

005930.KS
GCS · 1d
346,500
Entry / SL / TP
346,500 / 341,302 / 360,360
Confidence
94%
85→94
RISK-ON macro, strong leading sectors, positive technicals

MELI
AI_VWAP · 1d
1,679.26
Entry / SL / TP
1,679.26 / 1,557.24 / 1,923.29
Confidence
55%
50→55
Strategy HOLD; ML VWAP downtrend below baseline; bullish macro & market.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5
Strategy Performance — Coming Soon