ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING
June 15, 2026
Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis
Overall AI Stance · Score +40
买入信号：SPY (94%), 005930.KS (86%)。风险偏好宏观环境，强势板块，GCS BUY信号。看涨宏观环境，横盘的韩国市场，领涨板块，看涨科技。整体宏观：RISK-ON (评分 +40)。
Sahm Rule
0.1
10Y−2Y Spread
0.39
10Y−3M Spread
0.70
CPI YoY
4.3
Fed Funds Rate
3.63
Fear & Greed
18 · Extreme Fear
DXY
99.8
Unemployment
4.3
风险偏好升高 — 看好增长型资产
S&P 500 · data 2026-06-12
7,431.46
-0.5% vs MA20 · Sideways
Bitcoin · data 2026-06-14
65,258.01
-2.5% vs MA20 · Strong BEAR
KOSPI · data 2026-06-12
8,123.62
+1.8% vs MA20 · Weak BULL
SPY
GCS · 1d
741.75
Entry / SL / TP
741.75 / 730.62 / 771.42
Confidence
94%
85→94
Risk-on macro, strong sectors, GCS BUY signal.
NVDA
GCS · 1d
205.19
Entry / SL / TP
205.19 / 209.29 / 194.93
Confidence
38%
35→38
Neutral market phase & technicals suggest holding.
AAPL
GCS · 1d
291.13
Entry / SL / TP
291.13 / 286.76 / 302.78
Confidence
53%
48→53
Mixed signals; sideways market phase & neutral sector
TSM
GCS · 1d
423.93
Entry / SL / TP
423.93 / 417.57 / 440.89
Confidence
55%
50→55
Strategy HOLD signal and 50% confidence cap.
BTC-USD
AI_VWAP · 4h
65,380
Entry / SL / TP
65,380 / 60,861 / 74,418
Confidence
42%
38→42
Bullish macro, BEAR crypto phase. Tech HOLD. Weak confidence.
ETH-USD
AI_VWAP · 1h
1,723.22
Entry / SL / TP
1,723.22 / 1,585.36 / 1,998.94
Confidence
50%
45→50
Mixed signals: RISK-ON macro, BEAR crypto. Tech HOLD.
SOL-USD
BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d
70.1200
Entry / SL / TP
70.1200 / 77.3836 / 59.2246
Confidence
55%
50→55
Bearish crypto market, hold cash recommended.
XRP-USD
AI_VWAP · 4h
1.1697
Entry / SL / TP
1.1697 / 1.0761 / 1.3569
Confidence
50%
45→50
Bear market, weak tech signal, holding for now
005930.KS
GCS · 1d
322,500
Entry / SL / TP
322,500 / 317,662 / 335,400
Confidence
86%
78→86
Bullish macro, sideways KR market, leading sectors, bullish tech
MELI
GCS · 1d
1,589.60
Entry / SL / TP
1,589.60 / 1,621.39 / 1,510.12
Confidence
55%
50→55
Mixed market, weak technicals, HOLD strategy.
SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5
Strategy Performance — Coming Soon