Daily Briefing · June 14, 2026 · Post-US Market [ID]

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

June 14, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +40

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

Sinyal beli: SPY (85%). Makro RISK-ON, sinyal GCS BUY, sektor-sektor terdepan positif. Makro keseluruhan: RISK-ON (skor +40).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +40RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

0.1

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.39

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.70

Normal+5

CPI YoY

4.3

High Inflation-15

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

13 · Extreme Fear

Contrarian Buy+10

DXY

99.8

Weak Dollar+10

Unemployment

4.3

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-15 · FG+10 · DXY+10 · Unemp+5 = +40

RISK-ON

Selera risiko meningkat — aset pertumbuhan disukai

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · KOSPI

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-06-12

7,431.46

SIDEWAYS

-0.5% vs MA20 · Sideways

MA20Below (7,466)

ADX26 — Strong

TrendSideways

Bitcoin · data 2026-06-13

64,429.54

BEAR

-4.6% vs MA20 · Strong BEAR

MA20Below (67,514)

ADX46 — Strong

TrendStrong BEAR

KOSPI · data 2026-06-12

8,123.62

BULL

+1.8% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (7,983)

ADX25 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Healthcare leading

Perawatan Kesehatan (XLV)

+4.9%×1.05

Keuangan (XLF)

+4.0%×1.05

Real Estat (XLRE)

+3.3%×1.05

Bahan Pokok Konsumen (XLP)

+1.0%×1.00

Material (XLB)

+1.0%×1.00

Industri (XLI)

+1.0%×1.00

Teknologi (XLK)

+3.0%×1.00

Utilitas (XLU)

-0.8%×1.00

Energi (XLE)

-0.9%×0.90

Konsumen Diskr. (XLY)

-1.7%×0.90

Komunikasi (XLC)

-4.7%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalDefensive rotation — Staples·Utilities·Healthcare leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 1 · SELL 0 · HOLD 9

SPY

GCS · 1d

BUY

741.75

Entry / SL / TP

741.75 / 730.62 / 771.42

Confidence

85%

77→85

RISK-ON macro, GCS BUY signal, leading sectors positive.

NVDA

GCS · 1d

HOLD

205.19

Entry / SL / TP

205.19 / 209.29 / 194.93

Confidence

54%

49→54

Mixed signals, holding NVDA due to technicals

AAPL

GCS · 1d

HOLD

291.13

Entry / SL / TP

291.13 / 286.76 / 302.78

Confidence

42%

38→42

Technical HOLD, neutral market phase, RISK-ON macro.

TSM

GCS · 1d

HOLD

423.93

Entry / SL / TP

423.93 / 417.57 / 440.89

Confidence

55%

50→55

Strategy HOLD signal, confidence capped at 50%.

BTC-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

64,385

Entry / SL / TP

64,385 / 59,807 / 73,543

Confidence

50%

45→50

Mixed signals, favoring HOLD due to BEAR market phase.

ETH-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

HOLD

1,682.83

Entry / SL / TP

1,682.83 / 1,548.20 / 1,952.08

Confidence

38%

35→38

Bearish market phase outweighs RISK-ON macro. Technicals are weak.

SOL-USD

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

69.0600

Entry / SL / TP

69.0600 / 76.3592 / 58.1112

Confidence

55%

50→55

BEAR crypto market, HOLD signal. Conserve capital.

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

1.1516

Entry / SL / TP

1.1516 / 1.0595 / 1.3359

Confidence

50%

45→50

Mixed signals: RISK-ON macro but BEAR crypto. TA HOLD.

005930.KS

GCS · 1d

HOLD

322,500

Entry / SL / TP

322,500 / 317,662 / 335,400

Confidence

47%

43→47

Mixed signals. Sideways market, HOLD technicals.

MELI

GCS · 1d

HOLD

1,589.60

Entry / SL / TP

1,589.60 / 1,621.39 / 1,510.12

Confidence

50%

45→50

Sideways market, weak technicals, despite macro risk-on.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

MELI06/13 22:02HOLD1,589.60

005930.KS06/13 22:02HOLD322,500

XRP-USD06/13 22:02HOLD1.1516

SOL-USD06/13 22:01HOLD69.0600

ETH-USD06/13 22:01HOLD1,682.83

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →

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