Daily Briefing · July 23, 2026 · Post-US Market [PT-BR]

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

July 23, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +30

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

Sinais de compra: NVDA (74%), MELI (85%), ETH-USD (86%). Macro altista, fase de mercado de apoio, sinal técnico positivo. Macro altista, mercado lateral, técnicos positivos. Macro geral: RISK-ON (pontuação +30).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +30RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

0.07

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.36

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.78

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.7

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

33 · Fear

Balanced0

DXY

101.1

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.2

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 · Unemp+5 = +30

RISK-ON

Apetite por risco elevado — ativos de crescimento favorecidos

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-07-22

7,498.96

BULL

+0.2% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (7,485)

ADX12 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

Bitcoin · data 2026-07-22

66,009.29

BULL

+3.1% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (64,022)

ADX19 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

VIX · data 2026-07-22

16.64

Normal

-2.4% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Energy leading

Energia (XLE)

+8.7%×1.05

Imobiliário (XLRE)

+0.8%×1.05

Consumo Básico (XLP)

+0.8%×1.05

Financeiro (XLF)

+4.0%×1.00

Utilidades (XLU)

+1.9%×1.00

Saúde (XLV)

+4.8%×1.00

Industrial (XLI)

+0.4%×1.00

Comunicação (XLC)

+1.8%×1.00

Materiais (XLB)

-0.1%×0.90

Tecnologia (XLK)

-2.1%×0.90

Consumo Disc. (XLY)

+0.2%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalRecovery — Financials·Energy·Industrials leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 3 · SELL 0 · HOLD 7

SPY

GCS · 1d

HOLD

747.41

Entry / SL / TP

747.41 / 736.20 / 777.31

Confidence

73%

66→73

RISK-ON macro, above centerline. Hold position.

AAPL

GCS · 1d

HOLD

325.89

Entry / SL / TP

325.89 / 321.00 / 338.93

Confidence

48%

48→48

Mixed signals. Bullish macro but sideways market phase.

NVDA

GCS · 1d

BUY

212.06

Entry / SL / TP

212.06 / 207.82 / 222.66

Confidence

74%

75→74

Bullish macro, supportive market phase, positive tech signal.

TSM

GCS · 1d

HOLD

421.21

Entry / SL / TP

421.21 / 404.36 / 427.53

Confidence

50%

45→50

Mixed signals: Risk-on macro, sideways market. Technicals suggest HOLD.

MELI

GCS · 1d

BUY

1,799.21

Entry / SL / TP

1,799.21 / 1,763.23 / 1,889.17

Confidence

85%

77→85

Bullish macro, sideways market, positive technicals

005930.KS

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

260,500

Entry / SL / TP

260,500 / 309,174 / 187,489

Confidence

44%

40→44

Bear market, weak technicals, HOLD strategy.

BTC-USD

MTF_ORDERFLOW · 15m

HOLD

65,970

Entry / SL / TP

65,970 / 62,672 / 72,567

Confidence

50%

45→50

MTF conditions not met; hold for better entry

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

BUY

1,935.47

Entry / SL / TP

1,935.47 / 1,906.44 / 2,032.24

Confidence

86%

78→86

Bullish macro/market, GCS aligned, strong TA

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

HOLD

1.1406

Entry / SL / TP

1.1406 / 1.0697 / 1.2824

Confidence

50%

45→50

Strategy HOLD signal overrides bullish macro/market. Caution advised.

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

78.0300

Entry / SL / TP

78.0300 / 72.7838 / 88.5224

Confidence

55%

50→55

HOLD strategy. Macro bullish, market bullish. Tech neutral.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP07/22 22:07SELL148.75

ASML07/22 22:07BUY1,801.86

PBR07/22 22:07HOLD18.8900

VALE07/22 22:07BUY14.8500

DOGE-USD07/22 22:06HOLD0.072920

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →