Daily Briefing · August 25, 2026 · Post-US Market [VI]

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

August 25, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +40

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

Tín hiệu mua: SPY (95%), NVDA (75%), MELI (77%). Vĩ mô RISK-ON, tín hiệu tích cực, GCS BUY phù hợp với vĩ mô thị trường đi ngang Tăng trưởng, giai đoạn thị trường đi ngang, xu hướng tăng VWAP. Vĩ mô tổng thể: RISK-ON (điểm +40).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +40RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

-0.03

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.46

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.83

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.5

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

73 · Greed

Balanced0

DXY

99.0

Weak Dollar+10

Unemployment

4.1

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 · DXY+10 · Unemp+5 = +40

RISK-ON

Khẩu vị rủi ro tăng cao — ưu tiên các tài sản tăng trưởng

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-08-24

7,652.86

SIDEWAYS

-0.0% vs MA20 · Sideways

MA20Below (7,656)

ADX18 — Weak

TrendSideways

Bitcoin · data 2026-08-24

78,847.98

BULL

+16.8% vs MA20 · Strong BULL

MA20Above (67,504)

ADX31 — Strong

TrendStrong BULL

VIX · data 2026-08-24

15.85

Normal

+4.8% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Energy leading

Năng lượng (XLE)

+8.1%×1.05

Chăm sóc sức khỏe (XLV)

+6.9%×1.05

Truyền thông (XLC)

+4.3%×1.05

Vật liệu (XLB)

+4.3%×1.00

Hàng tiêu dùng thiết yếu (XLP)

+2.5%×1.00

Bất động sản (XLRE)

-0.9%×1.00

Tài chính (XLF)

+2.4%×1.00

Hàng tiêu dùng không thiết yếu (XLY)

+6.7%×1.00

Công nghệ (XLK)

+3.3%×0.90

Công nghiệp (XLI)

-2.3%×0.90

Tiện ích (XLU)

-5.4%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalDefensive rotation — Staples·Utilities·Healthcare leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 3 · SELL 0 · HOLD 7

SPY

GCS · 1d

BUY

763.47

Entry / SL / TP

763.47 / 752.02 / 794.01

Confidence

95%

86→95

RISK-ON macro, positive signals, GCS BUY aligned w/ sideways

AAPL

GCS · 1d

HOLD

310.34

Entry / SL / TP

310.34 / 315.00 / 297.93

Confidence

50%

50→50

Mixed signals: sideways market, HOLD technical. Manage existing.

NVDA

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

208.48

Entry / SL / TP

208.48 / 195.67 / 234.09

Confidence

75%

76→75

Bullish macro, sideways market phase, VWAP uptrend

TSM

GCS · 1d

HOLD

410.12

Entry / SL / TP

410.12 / 393.72 / 416.27

Confidence

33%

30→33

Technical HOLD signal below midline, neutral market phase.

MELI

GCS · 1d

BUY

1,947.90

Entry / SL / TP

1,947.90 / 1,908.94 / 2,045.30

Confidence

77%

70→77

RISK-ON macro, HOLD signal aligned with market.

005930.KS

GCS · 1d

HOLD

257,000

Entry / SL / TP

257,000 / 260,855 / 246,720

Confidence

44%

40→44

GCS HOLD signal, sideways market, weak technicals.

BTC-USD

MTF_ORDERFLOW · 15m

HOLD

78,969

Entry / SL / TP

78,969 / 75,021 / 86,866

Confidence

55%

50→55

MTF conditions unmet. Holding despite positive macro/market.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

HOLD

2,483.88

Entry / SL / TP

2,483.88 / 2,446.62 / 2,608.07

Confidence

55%

50→55

GCS HOLD, bullish signals, RSI high, follow rule 4

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

HOLD

1.4832

Entry / SL / TP

1.4832 / 1.3645 / 1.7205

Confidence

38%

35→38

Overbought RSI, VWAP downtrend despite BULL market

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

97.8000

Entry / SL / TP

97.8000 / 90.5980 / 112.20

Confidence

50%

45→50

Mixed signals: bullish macro, but bearish tech. HOLD.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP08/24 22:07HOLD218.66

ASML08/24 22:07HOLD1,740.13

PBR08/24 22:07BUY18.6000

VALE08/24 22:07BUY15.0400

SHIB-USD08/24 22:07BUY0.000005

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →