Daily Briefing · August 25, 2026 · Post-US Market [ID]

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

August 25, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +40

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

Sinyal beli: SPY (95%), NVDA (75%), MELI (77%). Makro RISK-ON, sinyal positif, GCS BUY selaras dengan makro sideways Bullish, fase pasar sideways, tren naik VWAP. Makro keseluruhan: RISK-ON (skor +40).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +40RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

-0.03

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.46

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.83

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.5

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

73 · Greed

Balanced0

DXY

99.0

Weak Dollar+10

Unemployment

4.1

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 · DXY+10 · Unemp+5 = +40

RISK-ON

Selera risiko meningkat — aset pertumbuhan difavoritkan

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-08-24

7,652.86

SIDEWAYS

-0.0% vs MA20 · Sideways

MA20Below (7,656)

ADX18 — Weak

TrendSideways

Bitcoin · data 2026-08-24

78,847.98

BULL

+16.8% vs MA20 · Strong BULL

MA20Above (67,504)

ADX31 — Strong

TrendStrong BULL

VIX · data 2026-08-24

15.85

Normal

+4.8% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Energy leading

Energi (XLE)

+8.1%×1.05

Kesehatan (XLV)

+6.9%×1.05

Komunikasi (XLC)

+4.3%×1.05

Material (XLB)

+4.3%×1.00

Bahan Pokok Konsumen (XLP)

+2.5%×1.00

Real Estat (XLRE)

-0.9%×1.00

Keuangan (XLF)

+2.4%×1.00

Konsumen Non-Pokok (XLY)

+6.7%×1.00

Teknologi (XLK)

+3.3%×0.90

Industri (XLI)

-2.3%×0.90

Utilitas (XLU)

-5.4%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalDefensive rotation — Staples·Utilities·Healthcare leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 3 · SELL 0 · HOLD 7

SPY

GCS · 1d

BUY

763.47

Entry / SL / TP

763.47 / 752.02 / 794.01

Confidence

95%

86→95

RISK-ON macro, positive signals, GCS BUY aligned w/ sideways

AAPL

GCS · 1d

HOLD

310.34

Entry / SL / TP

310.34 / 315.00 / 297.93

Confidence

50%

50→50

Mixed signals: sideways market, HOLD technical. Manage existing.

NVDA

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

208.48

Entry / SL / TP

208.48 / 195.67 / 234.09

Confidence

75%

76→75

Bullish macro, sideways market phase, VWAP uptrend

TSM

GCS · 1d

HOLD

410.12

Entry / SL / TP

410.12 / 393.72 / 416.27

Confidence

33%

30→33

Technical HOLD signal below midline, neutral market phase.

MELI

GCS · 1d

BUY

1,947.90

Entry / SL / TP

1,947.90 / 1,908.94 / 2,045.30

Confidence

77%

70→77

RISK-ON macro, HOLD signal aligned with market.

005930.KS

GCS · 1d

HOLD

257,000

Entry / SL / TP

257,000 / 260,855 / 246,720

Confidence

44%

40→44

GCS HOLD signal, sideways market, weak technicals.

BTC-USD

MTF_ORDERFLOW · 15m

HOLD

78,969

Entry / SL / TP

78,969 / 75,021 / 86,866

Confidence

55%

50→55

MTF conditions unmet. Holding despite positive macro/market.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

HOLD

2,483.88

Entry / SL / TP

2,483.88 / 2,446.62 / 2,608.07

Confidence

55%

50→55

GCS HOLD, bullish signals, RSI high, follow rule 4

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

HOLD

1.4832

Entry / SL / TP

1.4832 / 1.3645 / 1.7205

Confidence

38%

35→38

Overbought RSI, VWAP downtrend despite BULL market

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

97.8000

Entry / SL / TP

97.8000 / 90.5980 / 112.20

Confidence

50%

45→50

Mixed signals: bullish macro, but bearish tech. HOLD.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP08/24 22:07HOLD218.66

ASML08/24 22:07HOLD1,740.13

PBR08/24 22:07BUY18.6000

VALE08/24 22:07BUY15.0400

SHIB-USD08/24 22:07BUY0.000005

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →