Daily Briefing · September 28, 2026 · Post-US Market [ID]

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

September 28, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +30

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

Sinyal beli: AAPL (81%), XRP-USD (89%), SOL-USD (94%). RISK-ON, memimpin teknologi, sinyal beli teknis. RISK-ON makro, BULL kripto, AI_VWAP bullish. Makro keseluruhan: RISK-ON (skor +30).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +30RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

-0.07

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.36

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.93

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.7

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

70 · Greed

Balanced0

DXY

101.0

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.1

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 · Unemp+5 = +30

RISK-ON

Selera risiko meningkat — aset pertumbuhan disukai

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-09-25

7,743.41

BULL

+0.9% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (7,672)

ADX10 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

Bitcoin · data 2026-09-27

84,625.76

BULL

+5.2% vs MA20 · Strong BULL

MA20Above (80,438)

ADX44 — Strong

TrendStrong BULL

VIX · data 2026-09-25

14.87

Low

-5.1% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Technology leading

Teknologi (XLK)

+4.2%×1.05

Kesehatan (XLV)

-0.1%×1.05

Komunikasi (XLC)

+1.7%×1.05

Energi (XLE)

+0.2%×1.00

Industri (XLI)

-4.4%×1.00

Kebutuhan Pokok Konsumen (XLP)

-2.9%×1.00

Diskresioner Konsumen (XLY)

-4.4%×1.00

Keuangan (XLF)

-4.9%×1.00

Material (XLB)

-6.0%×0.90

Real Estat (XLRE)

-6.2%×0.90

Utilitas (XLU)

-7.8%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalEconomic expansion — Tech·Consumer·Industrials leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 3 · SELL 0 · HOLD 7

SPY

GCS · 1d

HOLD

771.35

Entry / SL / TP

771.35 / 759.78 / 802.20

Confidence

55%

50→55

Macro RISK-ON, technicals bullish. HOLD signal.

AAPL

GCS · 1d

BUY

341.07

Entry / SL / TP

341.07 / 335.95 / 354.71

Confidence

81%

70→81

RISK-ON, leading tech, technical buy signal.

NVDA

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

225.07

Entry / SL / TP

225.07 / 213.35 / 248.51

Confidence

58%

50→58

Technical HOLD signal; market phase sideways.

TSM

GCS · 1d

HOLD

450.61

Entry / SL / TP

450.61 / 443.85 / 468.63

Confidence

55%

50→55

Technical HOLD signal, confidence capped by rule.

MELI

GCS · 1d

HOLD

1,752.61

Entry / SL / TP

1,752.61 / 1,787.66 / 1,664.98

Confidence

50%

45→50

Technical HOLD signal overrides bullish macro.

005930.KS

MA_ALIGN · 1d

HOLD

285,500

Entry / SL / TP

285,500 / 271,225 / 314,050

Confidence

50%

45→50

MA alignment incomplete, awaiting confirmation.

BTC-USD

MTF_ORDERFLOW · 15m

HOLD

84,469

Entry / SL / TP

84,469 / 80,246 / 92,916

Confidence

50%

45→50

MTF conditions not met; HOLD on mixed signals.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

HOLD

2,678.78

Entry / SL / TP

2,678.78 / 2,625.20 / 2,759.14

Confidence

55%

50→55

Strategy HOLD signal, capped confidence.

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

BUY

1.5154

Entry / SL / TP

1.5154 / 1.3942 / 1.7579

Confidence

89%

81→89

RISK-ON macro, BULL crypto, AI_VWAP bullish

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

BUY

122.27

Entry / SL / TP

122.27 / 112.57 / 141.67

Confidence

94%

85→94

Bullish macro/market, strong AI_VWAP buy signal

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP09/27 22:07BUY210.68

ASML09/27 22:07BUY1,743.94

PBR09/27 22:07BUY20.3700

VALE09/27 22:07HOLD13.6100

SHIB-USD09/27 22:07BUY0.000006

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →