Daily Briefing · September 25, 2026 · Post-US Market [AR]

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

September 25, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +30

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

إشارات شراء: AAPL (81%), NVDA (96%), TSM (77%). إشارات بيع: XRP-USD (99%), SOL-USD (85%). اقتصاد كلي صعودي، قطاع التكنولوجيا الرائد، مؤشرات فنية إيجابية. اتجاه صعودي لـ AI_VWAP، اقتصاد كلي لـ RISK-ON، التكنولوجيا رائدة. الاقتصاد الكلي العام: RISK-ON (درجة +30).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +30RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

-0.07

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.31

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.94

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.7

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

71 · Greed

Balanced0

DXY

101.3

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.1

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 · Unemp+5 = +30

RISK-ON

شهية المخاطرة مرتفعة — الأصول ذات النمو مفضلة

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-09-24

7,704.13

BULL

+0.5% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (7,667)

ADX11 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

Bitcoin · data 2026-09-24

84,272.87

BULL

+5.7% vs MA20 · Strong BULL

MA20Above (79,744)

ADX44 — Strong

TrendStrong BULL

VIX · data 2026-09-24

15.67

Normal

+3.2% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Technology leading

التكنولوجيا (XLK)

+7.3%×1.05

الاتصالات (XLC)

+1.1%×1.05

الرعاية الصحية (XLV)

-2.7%×1.05

الطاقة (XLE)

+0.9%×1.00

الصناعات (XLI)

-5.1%×1.00

السلع الاستهلاكية الأساسية (XLP)

-5.0%×1.00

المالية (XLF)

-6.1%×1.00

السلع الاستهلاكية الكمالية (XLY)

-6.3%×1.00

المواد (XLB)

-6.8%×0.90

العقارات (XLRE)

-7.4%×0.90

المرافق (XLU)

-8.4%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalEconomic expansion — Tech·Consumer·Industrials leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 4 · SELL 2 · HOLD 4

SPY

GCS · 1d

HOLD

767.18

Entry / SL / TP

767.18 / 755.67 / 797.87

Confidence

50%

45→50

RISK-ON macro, sideways market, tech leading

AAPL

GCS · 1d

BUY

335.92

Entry / SL / TP

335.92 / 330.88 / 349.36

Confidence

81%

70→81

Bullish macro, leading tech sector, positive technicals.

NVDA

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

224.58

Entry / SL / TP

224.58 / 212.54 / 248.65

Confidence

96%

83→96

AI_VWAP bullish trend, RISK-ON macro, Tech leading.

TSM

GCS · 1d

BUY

451.15

Entry / SL / TP

451.15 / 444.38 / 469.20

Confidence

77%

70→77

Risk-on macro, leading tech, bullish TA, positive market.

MELI

GCS · 1d

HOLD

1,754.13

Entry / SL / TP

1,754.13 / 1,789.21 / 1,666.42

Confidence

55%

50→55

GCS HOLD signal, bearish TA, mixed macro/market.

005930.KS

MA_ALIGN · 1d

HOLD

285,500

Entry / SL / TP

285,500 / 271,225 / 314,050

Confidence

55%

50→55

MA alignment incomplete, awaiting entry signal.

BTC-USD

MTF_ORDERFLOW · 15m

HOLD

84,309

Entry / SL / TP

84,309 / 80,093 / 92,740

Confidence

55%

50→55

Strategy HOLD signal; unmet technical conditions.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

BUY

2,683.96

Entry / SL / TP

2,683.96 / 2,643.70 / 2,818.16

Confidence

85%

77→85

RISK-ON macro, BULL crypto market, positive TA signals.

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

SELL

1.5370

Entry / SL / TP

1.5370 / 1.5931 / 1.0124

Confidence

99%

90→99

Technical SELL signal, RISK-ON macro, BULL market

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

SELL

116.68

Entry / SL / TP

116.68 / 119.30 / 86.9926

Confidence

85%

77→85

Technical SELL signal overrides bullish macro/market context.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP09/24 22:06BUY209.11

ASML09/24 22:06BUY1,722.50

PBR09/24 22:06BUY20.8400

VALE09/24 22:06HOLD13.5600

DOGE-USD09/24 22:06BUY0.095520

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →