Daily Briefing · September 21, 2026 · Post-US Market [TR]

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

September 21, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

NEUTRAL

Overall AI Stance · Score +10

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

NEUTRAL

Genel makro: NEUTRAL (puan +10).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +10NEUTRAL

Sahm Rule

-0.07

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.25

Narrowing-5

10Y−3M Spread

0.87

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.7

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

71 · Greed

Balanced0

DXY

100.2

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.1

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread-5 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 · Unemp+5 = +10

NEUTRAL

Karışık sinyaller — dengeli pozisyon önerilir

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-09-18

7,650.50

SIDEWAYS

-0.1% vs MA20 · Sideways

MA20Below (7,659)

ADX12 — Weak

TrendSideways

Bitcoin · data 2026-09-20

80,955.00

BULL

+3.2% vs MA20 · Strong BULL

MA20Above (78,445)

ADX42 — Strong

TrendStrong BULL

VIX · data 2026-09-18

14.81

Low

-4.1% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Technology leading

Teknoloji (XLK)

+3.5%×1.05

Enerji (XLE)

+0.9%×1.05

Sağlık (XLV)

-2.3%×1.05

İletişim (XLC)

+0.1%×1.00

Finans (XLF)

-1.9%×1.00

Temel Tüketim Malları (XLP)

-3.0%×1.00

Materyaller (XLB)

-4.6%×1.00

Tüketici Ürünleri (XLY)

-4.8%×1.00

Sanayi (XLI)

-5.6%×0.90

Gayrimenkul (XLRE)

-5.7%×0.90

Kamu Hizmetleri (XLU)

-6.1%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalEconomic expansion — Tech·Consumer·Industrials leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 0 · SELL 0 · HOLD 10

SPY

GCS · 1d

HOLD

761.69

Entry / SL / TP

761.69 / 731.22 / 773.12

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro, sideways market, RSI near 50, holding current position.

AAPL

GCS · 1d

HOLD

336.13

Entry / SL / TP

336.13 / 331.09 / 349.58

Confidence

47%

45→47

Neutral macro, sideways US market, tech leading.

NVDA

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

222.27

Entry / SL / TP

222.27 / 209.45 / 247.90

Confidence

52%

50→52

Neutral macro, HOLD signal, tech leading

TSM

GCS · 1d

HOLD

434.67

Entry / SL / TP

434.67 / 428.15 / 452.06

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro, sideways market, holding above GCS.

MELI

GCS · 1d

HOLD

1,787.39

Entry / SL / TP

1,787.39 / 1,823.14 / 1,698.02

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro, sideways market, technicals indicate hold.

005930.KS

MA_ALIGN · 1d

HOLD

261,000

Entry / SL / TP

261,000 / 259,488 / 261,756

Confidence

40%

40→40

MA alignment incomplete. Awaiting stronger signal.

BTC-USD

MTF_ORDERFLOW · 15m

HOLD

80,912

Entry / SL / TP

80,912 / 76,867 / 89,003

Confidence

40%

40→40

MTF conditions not met, holding position.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

HOLD

2,632.60

Entry / SL / TP

2,632.60 / 2,593.11 / 2,764.23

Confidence

50%

50→50

Neutral macro. Bull crypto. Hold per rules.

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

HOLD

1.4036

Entry / SL / TP

1.4036 / 1.2913 / 1.6282

Confidence

35%

35→35

Neutral macro, AI VWAP positive trend, RSI 55.9

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

109.98

Entry / SL / TP

109.98 / 101.18 / 127.58

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro, holding for bullish trend confirmation.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP09/20 22:07HOLD209.45

ASML09/20 22:06HOLD1,679.92

PBR09/20 22:06HOLD20.8000

VALE09/20 22:06HOLD14.2100

DOGE-USD09/20 22:06HOLD0.087130

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →