Daily Briefing · September 20, 2026 · US Market Open

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

September 20, 2026

US Market Open · 23:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

NEUTRAL

Overall AI Stance · Score +10

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

NEUTRAL

Buy signals: AAPL (67%), TSM (68%). AAPL in uptrend, tech leading, neutral macro Neutral macro, strong tech sector, positive TA signal. Overall macro: NEUTRAL (score +10).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +10NEUTRAL

Sahm Rule

-0.07

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.25

Narrowing-5

10Y−3M Spread

0.87

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.7

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

71 · Greed

Balanced0

DXY

100.2

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.1

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread-5 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 · Unemp+5 = +10

NEUTRAL

Mixed signals — balanced positioning recommended

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-09-18

7,650.50

SIDEWAYS

-0.1% vs MA20 · Sideways

MA20Below (7,659)

ADX12 — Weak

TrendSideways

Bitcoin · data 2026-09-20

80,526.07

BULL

+2.7% vs MA20 · Strong BULL

MA20Above (78,424)

ADX42 — Strong

TrendStrong BULL

VIX · data 2026-09-18

14.81

Low

-4.1% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Technology leading

Technology (XLK)

+3.5%×1.05

Energy (XLE)

+0.9%×1.05

Healthcare (XLV)

-2.3%×1.05

Communication (XLC)

+0.1%×1.00

Financials (XLF)

-1.9%×1.00

Consumer Staples (XLP)

-3.0%×1.00

Materials (XLB)

-4.6%×1.00

Consumer Disc. (XLY)

-4.8%×1.00

Industrials (XLI)

-5.6%×0.90

Real Estate (XLRE)

-5.7%×0.90

Utilities (XLU)

-6.1%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalEconomic expansion — Tech·Consumer·Industrials leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 2 · SELL 0 · HOLD 8

SPY

GCS · 1d

HOLD

761.69

Entry / SL / TP

761.69 / 731.22 / 773.12

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro, sideways market, holding strategy.

AAPL

GCS · 1d

BUY

336.13

Entry / SL / TP

336.13 / 331.09 / 349.58

Confidence

67%

64→67

AAPL in uptrend, tech leading, neutral macro

NVDA

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

222.27

Entry / SL / TP

222.27 / 209.45 / 247.90

Confidence

37%

35→37

Neutral macro, sideways market. HOLD aligns with strategy.

TSM

GCS · 1d

BUY

434.67

Entry / SL / TP

434.67 / 428.15 / 452.06

Confidence

68%

68→68

Neutral macro, strong tech sector, positive TA signal.

MELI

GCS · 1d

HOLD

1,787.39

Entry / SL / TP

1,787.39 / 1,823.14 / 1,698.02

Confidence

40%

40→40

Neutral macro, sideways market. Hold as per technicals.

005930.KS

MA_ALIGN · 1d

HOLD

261,000

Entry / SL / TP

261,000 / 259,488 / 261,756

Confidence

40%

40→40

MA alignment incomplete, waiting for entry.

BTC-USD

MTF_ORDERFLOW · 15m

HOLD

80,653

Entry / SL / TP

80,653 / 76,620 / 88,718

Confidence

40%

40→40

MTF conditions not met, holding neutral

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

HOLD

2,583.93

Entry / SL / TP

2,583.93 / 2,545.17 / 2,713.13

Confidence

50%

50→50

Neutral macro, positive market phase, GCS HOLD signal

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

HOLD

1.3814

Entry / SL / TP

1.3814 / 1.2709 / 1.6024

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro, sideways US, crypto bull. HOLD per strategy.

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

108.48

Entry / SL / TP

108.48 / 99.8016 / 125.84

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro, HOLD signal, mixed market signals.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP09/20 14:06HOLD209.45

ASML09/20 14:06HOLD1,679.92

PBR09/20 14:06HOLD20.8000

VALE09/20 14:06HOLD14.2100

SHIB-USD09/20 14:06SELL0.000005

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

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Stock Analysis

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