Daily Briefing · September 20, 2026 · Post-US Market [ES]

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

September 20, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

NEUTRAL

Overall AI Stance · Score +10

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

NEUTRAL

Señales de BUY: TSM (65%). Señales de SELL: SOL-USD (65%). Macro neutral, tecnología líder, señal alcista GCS, buena relación riesgo/recompensa. Fuerte señal técnica de SELL vs. mercado cripto ALCISTA. Macro general: NEUTRAL (puntuación +10).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +10NEUTRAL

Sahm Rule

-0.07

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.25

Narrowing-5

10Y−3M Spread

0.87

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.7

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

71 · Greed

Balanced0

DXY

100.2

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.1

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread-5 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 · Unemp+5 = +10

NEUTRAL

Señales mixtas — se recomienda posicionamiento equilibrado

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-09-18

7,650.50

SIDEWAYS

-0.1% vs MA20 · Sideways

MA20Below (7,659)

ADX12 — Weak

TrendSideways

Bitcoin · data 2026-09-19

81,041.84

BULL

+3.5% vs MA20 · Strong BULL

MA20Above (78,315)

ADX41 — Strong

TrendStrong BULL

VIX · data 2026-09-18

14.81

Low

-4.1% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Technology leading

Tecnología (XLK)

+3.5%×1.05

Energía (XLE)

+0.9%×1.05

Salud (XLV)

-2.3%×1.05

Comunicaciones (XLC)

+0.1%×1.00

Financieros (XLF)

-1.9%×1.00

Consumo Básico (XLP)

-3.0%×1.00

Materiales (XLB)

-4.6%×1.00

Consumo Discrecional (XLY)

-4.8%×1.00

Industriales (XLI)

-5.6%×0.90

Bienes Raíces (XLRE)

-5.7%×0.90

Servicios Públicos (XLU)

-6.1%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalEconomic expansion — Tech·Consumer·Industrials leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 1 · SELL 1 · HOLD 8

SPY

GCS · 1d

HOLD

761.69

Entry / SL / TP

761.69 / 731.22 / 773.12

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro, sideways market, technical HOLD signal.

AAPL

GCS · 1d

HOLD

336.13

Entry / SL / TP

336.13 / 331.09 / 349.58

Confidence

42%

40→42

Neutral macro, sideways market, holding above GCS

NVDA

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

222.27

Entry / SL / TP

222.27 / 209.45 / 247.90

Confidence

58%

55→58

Neutral macro, sideways market, leading tech sector.

TSM

GCS · 1d

BUY

434.67

Entry / SL / TP

434.67 / 428.15 / 452.06

Confidence

65%

65→65

Neutral macro, leading tech, GCS bullish signal, good risk/reward.

MELI

GCS · 1d

HOLD

1,787.39

Entry / SL / TP

1,787.39 / 1,823.14 / 1,698.02

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro/market, weak technicals. Holding current position.

005930.KS

MA_ALIGN · 1d

HOLD

261,000

Entry / SL / TP

261,000 / 259,488 / 261,756

Confidence

40%

40→40

MA alignment incomplete, awaiting confirmation.

BTC-USD

MTF_ORDERFLOW · 15m

HOLD

80,958

Entry / SL / TP

80,958 / 76,910 / 89,053

Confidence

40%

40→40

MTF conditions not met, below golden zone.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

HOLD

2,621.47

Entry / SL / TP

2,621.47 / 2,582.15 / 2,752.54

Confidence

48%

48→48

Neutral macro, BULL crypto. Technical HOLD.

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

HOLD

1.3991

Entry / SL / TP

1.3991 / 1.2872 / 1.6230

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro, HOLD signal, mixed market outlook.

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

SELL

110.09

Entry / SL / TP

110.09 / 113.87 / 81.8214

Confidence

65%

65→65

Strong technical SELL signal vs. BULLISH crypto market.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP09/19 22:06HOLD209.45

ASML09/19 22:06HOLD1,679.92

PBR09/19 22:06HOLD20.8000

VALE09/19 22:06HOLD14.2100

SHIB-USD09/19 22:05SELL0.000005

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →