Daily Briefing · September 18, 2026 · US Market Open

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

September 18, 2026

US Market Open · 23:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

NEUTRAL

Overall AI Stance · Score +10

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

NEUTRAL

Buy signals: AAPL (63%). Tech leading, neutral macro, sideways market, bullish trend. Overall macro: NEUTRAL (score +10).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +10NEUTRAL

Sahm Rule

-0.07

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.27

Narrowing-5

10Y−3M Spread

0.82

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.7

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

56 · Greed

Balanced0

DXY

100.5

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.1

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread-5 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 · Unemp+5 = +10

NEUTRAL

Mixed signals — balanced positioning recommended

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-09-18

7,629.34

SIDEWAYS

-0.4% vs MA20 · Sideways

MA20Below (7,658)

ADX12 — Weak

TrendSideways

Bitcoin · data 2026-09-18

80,278.59

BULL

+2.8% vs MA20 · Strong BULL

MA20Above (78,116)

ADX40 — Strong

TrendStrong BULL

VIX · data 2026-09-18

15.22

Normal

-1.4% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Technology leading

Technology (XLK)

+2.8%×1.05

Energy (XLE)

+1.1%×1.05

Communication (XLC)

+0.7%×1.05

Healthcare (XLV)

-2.5%×1.00

Financials (XLF)

-2.3%×1.00

Consumer Staples (XLP)

-2.6%×1.00

Materials (XLB)

-4.6%×1.00

Consumer Disc. (XLY)

-4.9%×1.00

Real Estate (XLRE)

-5.5%×0.90

Utilities (XLU)

-5.9%×0.90

Industrials (XLI)

-6.2%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalEconomic expansion — Tech·Consumer·Industrials leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 1 · SELL 0 · HOLD 9

SPY

GCS · 1d

HOLD

758.98

Entry / SL / TP

758.98 / 728.62 / 770.36

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro/market, below Gaussian center.

AAPL

GCS · 1d

BUY

335.21

Entry / SL / TP

335.21 / 330.18 / 348.62

Confidence

63%

60→63

Tech leading, neutral macro, sideways market, bullish trend.

NVDA

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

219.24

Entry / SL / TP

219.24 / 206.81 / 244.11

Confidence

47%

45→47

Neutral macro, sideways market, HOLD signal

TSM

GCS · 1d

HOLD

431.02

Entry / SL / TP

431.02 / 424.56 / 448.26

Confidence

50%

50→50

Neutral macro, sideways US market, tech HOLD.

MELI

GCS · 1d

HOLD

1,809.00

Entry / SL / TP

1,809.00 / 1,845.18 / 1,718.55

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro/market, HOLD technicals.

005930.KS

MA_ALIGN · 1d

HOLD

261,000

Entry / SL / TP

261,000 / 259,488 / 261,756

Confidence

40%

40→40

MA alignment incomplete, waiting for clear signal.

BTC-USD

MTF_ORDERFLOW · 15m

HOLD

80,425

Entry / SL / TP

80,425 / 76,404 / 88,468

Confidence

40%

40→40

MTF conditions not met; neutral macro; HOLD signal.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

HOLD

2,562.00

Entry / SL / TP

2,562.00 / 2,523.57 / 2,690.10

Confidence

50%

50→50

Neutral macro, bullish crypto, HOLD tech. RSI bullish.

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

HOLD

1.3676

Entry / SL / TP

1.3676 / 1.2582 / 1.5864

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro, HOLD signal, balanced risk/reward.

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

108.76

Entry / SL / TP

108.76 / 100.06 / 126.16

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro, mixed market signals, HOLD strategy

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP09/18 14:07HOLD209.85

ASML09/18 14:07HOLD1,636.50

PBR09/18 14:07HOLD20.8250

VALE09/18 14:07HOLD14.2750

SHIB-USD09/18 14:07HOLD0.000005

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

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