Daily Briefing · September 16, 2026 · Post-US Market [VI]

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

September 16, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +35

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

Vĩ mô tổng thể: RISK-ON (điểm +35).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +35RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

-0.07

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.33

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

—

No data0

CPI YoY

3.7

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

69 · Greed

Balanced0

DXY

99.7

Weak Dollar+10

Unemployment

4.1

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · CPI-5 · DXY+10 · Unemp+5 = +35

RISK-ON

Khẩu vị rủi ro tăng cao — ưu tiên các tài sản tăng trưởng

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-09-15

7,585.73

BEAR

-1.1% vs MA20 · Weak BEAR

MA20Below (7,669)

ADX11 — Weak

TrendWeak BEAR

Bitcoin · data 2026-09-15

75,386.75

SIDEWAYS

-3.7% vs MA20 · Sideways

MA20Below (78,279)

ADX42 — Strong

TrendSideways

VIX · data 2026-09-15

17.20

Normal

+0.6% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Communication leading

Truyền thông (XLC)

+2.9%×1.05

Năng lượng (XLE)

+5.3%×1.05

Chăm sóc sức khỏe (XLV)

+0.4%×1.05

Công nghệ (XLK)

-3.5%×1.00

Hàng tiêu dùng thiết yếu (XLP)

-1.1%×1.00

Tài chính (XLF)

-1.3%×1.00

Vật liệu (XLB)

-2.9%×1.00

Bất động sản (XLRE)

-3.9%×1.00

Hàng tiêu dùng không thiết yếu (XLY)

-5.0%×0.90

Tiện ích (XLU)

-6.5%×0.90

Công nghiệp (XLI)

-9.4%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalRecovery — Financials·Energy·Industrials leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 0 · SELL 0 · HOLD 10

SPY

NO_ENTRY · 1d

HOLD

757.39

Entry / SL / TP

757.39 / 734.67 / 802.83

Confidence

0→0

SPY BEAR 국면 진입 확인 — 검증된 전략 없어 신규 진입 보류 (2026-07-25 Bear Sweep: GCS/AI_VWAP/BEAR_DEFENSE/MTF_ORDERFLOW × 4h/1d 전 조합 MIN_TRADES 미달)

AAPL

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

331.34

Entry / SL / TP

331.34 / 346.44 / 308.70

Confidence

44%

40→44

Mixed signals; holding cash in uncertain bear market

NVDA

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

212.17

Entry / SL / TP

212.17 / 225.64 / 191.97

Confidence

50%

45→50

Mixed signals: Risk-on macro, but BEAR market & HOLD TA.

TSM

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

413.75

Entry / SL / TP

413.75 / 436.66 / 379.38

Confidence

50%

45→50

Bear market, mixed signals. Holding position.

MELI

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

1,828.94

Entry / SL / TP

1,828.94 / 1,957.05 / 1,636.78

Confidence

55%

50→55

Bear market, technical HOLD, cash recommended.

005930.KS

GCS · 1d

HOLD

248,500

Entry / SL / TP

248,500 / 238,560 / 252,228

Confidence

50%

45→50

Tech HOLD, mixed market, RISK-ON macro.

BTC-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

75,396

Entry / SL / TP

75,396 / 74,265 / 79,166

Confidence

50%

45→50

Bullish macro, but sideways market & tech HOLD.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

HOLD

2,388.03

Entry / SL / TP

2,388.03 / 2,352.21 / 2,507.43

Confidence

55%

50→55

Strategy HOLD signal; mixed market phase.

XRP-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

1.2791

Entry / SL / TP

1.2791 / 1.3047 / 1.2151

Confidence

50%

45→50

Mixed signals: BULLISH macro, BEARISH TA/Market Phase

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

96.6900

Entry / SL / TP

96.6900 / 88.9548 / 112.16

Confidence

50%

45→50

HOLD. Bullish macro but neutral market/tech signals.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP09/15 22:07HOLD215.67

ASML09/15 22:07HOLD1,591.48

PBR09/15 22:07HOLD21.7700

VALE09/15 22:07HOLD14.4700

SHIB-USD09/15 22:07HOLD0.000005

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →