Daily Briefing · September 15, 2026 · Post-US Market [PT-BR]

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

September 15, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +40

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

Sinais de compra: AAPL (77%), TSM (92%), ETH-USD (92%). Sinais de venda: SPY (85%). Macro bullish, fases de mercado positivas, liderança de tecnologia. Macro RISK-ON, mercado BULLISH, setores líderes, sinal BUY GCS. Macro geral: RISK-ON (pontuação +40).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +40RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

-0.07

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.32

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.86

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.7

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

57 · Greed

Balanced0

DXY

99.5

Weak Dollar+10

Unemployment

4.1

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 · DXY+10 · Unemp+5 = +40

RISK-ON

Apetite por risco elevado — ativos de crescimento favorecidos

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-09-14

7,619.98

SIDEWAYS

-0.7% vs MA20 · Sideways

MA20Below (7,677)

ADX11 — Weak

TrendSideways

Bitcoin · data 2026-09-14

78,738.50

BULL

+0.3% vs MA20 · Strong BULL

MA20Above (78,490)

ADX43 — Strong

TrendStrong BULL

VIX · data 2026-09-14

17.10

Normal

+8.0% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Communication leading

Comunicações (XLC)

+1.9%×1.05

Energia (XLE)

+4.2%×1.05

Saúde (XLV)

+0.2%×1.05

Tecnologia (XLK)

-3.0%×1.00

Financeiro (XLF)

-1.9%×1.00

Consumo Básico (XLP)

-1.9%×1.00

Materiais (XLB)

-3.9%×1.00

Consumo Disc. (XLY)

-4.5%×1.00

Imobiliário (XLRE)

-4.8%×0.90

Utilidades (XLU)

-5.6%×0.90

Industrial (XLI)

-8.9%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalRecovery — Financials·Energy·Industrials leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 5 · SELL 1 · HOLD 4

SPY

GCS · 1d

SELL

760.88

Entry / SL / TP

760.88 / 772.29 / 730.44

Confidence

85%

77→85

Technical SELL, GCS break, RISK-ON macro

AAPL

GCS · 1d

BUY

333.08

Entry / SL / TP

333.08 / 328.08 / 346.40

Confidence

77%

70→77

Bullish macro, positive market phases, tech leadership.

NVDA

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

210.96

Entry / SL / TP

210.96 / 196.92 / 239.05

Confidence

55%

50→55

AI_VWAP HOLD signal, positive macro

TSM

GCS · 1d

BUY

418.01

Entry / SL / TP

418.01 / 411.74 / 434.73

Confidence

92%

84→92

RISK-ON macro, BULLISH market, leading sectors, GCS BUY signal.

MELI

GCS · 1d

HOLD

1,900.24

Entry / SL / TP

1,900.24 / 1,805.23 / 1,938.24

Confidence

53%

48→53

Technical HOLD signal, neutral market phase.

005930.KS

MA_ALIGN · 1d

HOLD

249,000

Entry / SL / TP

249,000 / 220,817 / 263,092

Confidence

36%

33→36

MA alignment incomplete, waiting for clear signal.

BTC-USD

MTF_ORDERFLOW · 15m

HOLD

78,754

Entry / SL / TP

78,754 / 74,817 / 86,630

Confidence

55%

50→55

MTF signal HOLD due to technical conditions not met

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

BUY

2,547.80

Entry / SL / TP

2,547.80 / 2,509.58 / 2,675.19

Confidence

92%

84→92

RISK-ON macro, BULL crypto phase, strong GCS signal.

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

BUY

1.4436

Entry / SL / TP

1.4436 / 1.3281 / 1.6746

Confidence

88%

80→88

Bullish macro/market, AI_VWAP buy signal, strong technicals.

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

BUY

103.25

Entry / SL / TP

103.25 / 94.9900 / 119.77

Confidence

94%

85→94

Bullish macro, market, and technicals align.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP09/14 22:06BUY218.28

ASML09/14 22:06SELL1,575.15

PBR09/14 22:06BUY21.1500

VALE09/14 22:06SELL14.6100

DOGE-USD09/14 22:06HOLD0.084460

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →