Daily Briefing · September 13, 2026 · Post-US Market [zh-CN]

ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

September 13, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +25

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

买入信号：SPY (77%), NVDA (89%), TSM (97%)。卖出信号：SOL-USD (100%)。RISK-ON 宏观，积极的行业领先者，GCS 处于中线。看涨宏观，领先的科技行业，AI_VWAP 上升趋势。整体宏观：RISK-ON (评分 +25)。

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +25RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

-0.07

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

—

No data0

10Y−3M Spread

0.89

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.7

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

63 · Greed

Balanced0

DXY

99.1

Weak Dollar+10

Unemployment

4.1

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 · DXY+10 · Unemp+5 = +25

RISK-ON

风险偏好升高 — 看好增长型资产

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-09-11

7,656.98

SIDEWAYS

-0.4% vs MA20 · Sideways

MA20Below (7,685)

ADX12 — Weak

TrendSideways

Bitcoin · data 2026-09-12

77,225.20

SIDEWAYS

-1.7% vs MA20 · Sideways

MA20Below (78,585)

ADX44 — Strong

TrendSideways

VIX · data 2026-09-11

15.84

Normal

-11.2% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Technology leading

科技 (XLK)

-1.6%×1.05

能源 (XLE)

+6.7%×1.05

通信 (XLC)

+0.0%×1.05

金融 (XLF)

-1.7%×1.00

公用事业 (XLU)

-3.8%×1.00

医疗保健 (XLV)

-1.8%×1.00

材料 (XLB)

-2.6%×1.00

消费必需品 (XLP)

-3.0%×1.00

房地产 (XLRE)

-3.8%×0.90

消费非必需品 (XLY)

-4.6%×0.90

工业 (XLI)

-7.2%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalRecovery — Financials·Energy·Industrials leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 5 · SELL 1 · HOLD 4

SPY

GCS · 1d

BUY

764.29

Entry / SL / TP

764.29 / 752.83 / 794.86

Confidence

77%

70→77

RISK-ON macro, positive sector leads, GCS on centerline.

AAPL

GCS · 1d

HOLD

332.27

Entry / SL / TP

332.27 / 327.29 / 345.56

Confidence

58%

50→58

Technical HOLD signal, US market sideways

NVDA

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

218.29

Entry / SL / TP

218.29 / 204.61 / 245.66

Confidence

89%

77→89

Bullish macro, leading tech sector, AI_VWAP uptrend.

TSM

GCS · 1d

BUY

433.24

Entry / SL / TP

433.24 / 426.74 / 450.57

Confidence

97%

88→97

RISK-ON macro, leading tech sector, bullish signals.

MELI

GCS · 1d

HOLD

1,897.37

Entry / SL / TP

1,897.37 / 1,802.50 / 1,935.32

Confidence

55%

50→55

Technical HOLD signal, outside risk-on. RSI neutral.

005930.KS

MA_ALIGN · 1d

HOLD

259,500

Entry / SL / TP

259,500 / 251,166 / 263,667

Confidence

50%

45→50

MA alignment incomplete; waiting for entry signal.

BTC-USD

MTF_ORDERFLOW · 15m

HOLD

77,274

Entry / SL / TP

77,274 / 73,410 / 85,001

Confidence

44%

40→44

MTF conditions not met, pending for stronger signals.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

BUY

2,522.98

Entry / SL / TP

2,522.98 / 2,485.14 / 2,649.13

Confidence

94%

85→94

RISK-ON macro, BULL crypto, positive TA signals.

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

BUY

1.3634

Entry / SL / TP

1.3634 / 1.2543 / 1.5815

Confidence

90%

82→90

Bullish macro, market phase, and technicals align for XRP.

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

SELL

101.52

Entry / SL / TP

101.52 / 105.81 / 76.3576

Confidence

100%

95→100

Tech leads, RISK-ON macro, strong SELL signal.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP09/12 22:06SELL206.36

ASML09/12 22:06BUY1,698.30

PBR09/12 22:06BUY21.2000

VALE09/12 22:06HOLD15.2300

SHIB-USD09/12 22:06HOLD0.000005

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →