Daily Briefing · September 05, 2026 · Post-US Market [TR]

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

September 05, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +40

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

Alım sinyalleri: AAPL (%77), NVDA (%85), TSM (%85). Satış sinyalleri: MELI (%94). AI_VWAP yükseliş eğiliminde, makro EKONOMİ RISK-ON, ABD Piyasası BULL. Yükseliş eğiliminde makro, güçlü ABD büyümesi, AI_VWAP yükseliş trendi. Genel makro: RISK-ON (skor +40).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +40RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

-0.07

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.41

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.87

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.5

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

74 · Greed

Balanced0

DXY

99.2

Weak Dollar+10

Unemployment

4.1

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 · DXY+10 · Unemp+5 = +40

RISK-ON

Risk iştahı yükseldi — büyüme varlıkları tercih ediliyor

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

BULL

S&P 500 · data 2026-09-04

7,718.60

BULL

+0.1% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (7,709)

ADX14 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

Bitcoin · data 2026-09-04

79,709.33

BULL

+5.4% vs MA20 · Strong BULL

MA20Above (75,614)

ADX46 — Strong

TrendStrong BULL

VIX · data 2026-09-04

14.53

Low

+1.5% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Energy leading

Enerji (XLE)

+11.4%×1.05

İletişim (XLC)

+0.7%×1.05

Sağlık (XLV)

+3.5%×1.05

Finans (XLF)

+0.9%×1.00

Teknoloji (XLK)

-0.4%×1.00

Materyaller (XLB)

-0.8%×1.00

Kamu Hizmetleri (XLU)

-1.2%×1.00

Temel Tüketim Ürünleri (XLP)

-0.6%×1.00

Gayrimenkul (XLRE)

-2.3%×0.90

Tüketici Ürünleri (XLY)

-4.1%×0.90

Sanayi (XLI)

-5.3%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalRecovery — Financials·Energy·Industrials leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 5 · SELL 1 · HOLD 4

SPY

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

770.19

Entry / SL / TP

770.19 / 757.75 / 795.07

Confidence

55%

50→55

Bullish macro/market, HOLD signal; capped confidence.

AAPL

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

319.97

Entry / SL / TP

319.97 / 304.70 / 350.51

Confidence

77%

70→77

AI_VWAP bullish, RISK-ON macro, US BULL market.

NVDA

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

230.36

Entry / SL / TP

230.36 / 215.60 / 259.88

Confidence

85%

77→85

Bullish macro, strong US growth, AI_VWAP bullish trend.

TSM

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

428.91

Entry / SL / TP

428.91 / 405.94 / 474.84

Confidence

85%

77→85

RISK-ON macro, BULL market phase, strong VWAP trend.

MELI

AI_VWAP · 1d

SELL

1,978.36

Entry / SL / TP

1,978.36 / 2,030.95 / 1,598.84

Confidence

94%

85→94

SELL signal from TA, aligned with market phase, strong conviction

005930.KS

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

255,500

Entry / SL / TP

255,500 / 288,375 / 206,187

Confidence

55%

50→55

Korean market bearish, technicals favor downside. [신뢰도 55%<60%→HOLD]

BTC-USD

MTF_ORDERFLOW · 15m

HOLD

79,690

Entry / SL / TP

79,690 / 75,706 / 87,659

Confidence

55%

50→55

HOLD: MTF conditions unmet, confidence capped

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

HOLD

2,453.44

Entry / SL / TP

2,453.44 / 2,416.64 / 2,576.11

Confidence

50%

45→50

Bullish macro/market, but technical HOLD signal.

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

BUY

1.3980

Entry / SL / TP

1.3980 / 1.2862 / 1.6217

Confidence

85%

77→85

Bullish macro/market. AI_VWAP shows uptrend.

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

BUY

101.71

Entry / SL / TP

101.71 / 93.5732 / 117.98

Confidence

77%

70→77

Bullish macro, market phase, and tech. AI_VWAP BUY aligned.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP09/04 22:06HOLD215.11

ASML09/04 22:06HOLD1,714.88

PBR09/04 22:06HOLD20.1200

VALE09/04 22:06BUY15.2700

SHIB-USD09/04 22:06BUY0.000005

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →