Daily Briefing · September 04, 2026 · Post-US Market [zh-TW]

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

September 04, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +40

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

買入訊號：SPY (85%)、AAPL (95%)、NVDA (85%)。RISK-ON 宏觀、BULL 市場、AI_VWAP 看漲看漲宏觀、市場、正向 AI_VWAP 訊號。整體宏觀：RISK-ON (分數 +40)。

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +40RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

-0.03

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.43

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.88

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.5

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

65 · Greed

Balanced0

DXY

99.0

Weak Dollar+10

Unemployment

4.1

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 · DXY+10 · Unemp+5 = +40

RISK-ON

風險偏好升高 — 看好成長型資產

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

BULL

S&P 500 · data 2026-09-03

7,747.71

BULL

+0.5% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (7,711)

ADX13 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

Bitcoin · data 2026-09-03

81,567.60

BULL

+9.1% vs MA20 · Strong BULL

MA20Above (74,794)

ADX44 — Strong

TrendStrong BULL

VIX · data 2026-09-03

14.32

Low

-5.8% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Energy leading

能源 (XLE)

+11.1%×1.05

通訊 (XLC)

+2.0%×1.05

醫療保健 (XLV)

+5.4%×1.05

金融 (XLF)

+1.3%×1.00

科技 (XLK)

+0.3%×1.00

材料 (XLB)

+0.9%×1.00

必需消費品 (XLP)

+0.2%×1.00

非必需消費品 (XLY)

-1.4%×1.00

公用事業 (XLU)

-0.8%×0.90

房地產 (XLRE)

-1.2%×0.90

工業 (XLI)

-5.5%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalRecovery — Financials·Energy·Industrials leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 7 · SELL 0 · HOLD 3

SPY

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

773.17

Entry / SL / TP

773.17 / 760.41 / 798.69

Confidence

85%

77→85

RISK-ON macro, BULL market, AI_VWAP bullish

AAPL

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

328.21

Entry / SL / TP

328.21 / 313.47 / 357.69

Confidence

95%

86→95

Bullish macro, market, positive AI_VWAP signal.

NVDA

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

228.45

Entry / SL / TP

228.45 / 213.52 / 258.30

Confidence

85%

77→85

Bullish macro, positive market, strong AI_VWAP

TSM

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

417.01

Entry / SL / TP

417.01 / 394.17 / 462.69

Confidence

77%

70→77

Bullish macro, market phase, and sector alignment

MELI

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

1,991.06

Entry / SL / TP

1,991.06 / 1,860.05 / 2,253.07

Confidence

55%

50→55

Hold MELI. Mixed signals. Technicals show upward trend.

005930.KS

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

250,000

Entry / SL / TP

250,000 / 284,020 / 198,971

Confidence

55%

50→55

KR bearish; tech signals HOLD. Maintain cash.

BTC-USD

MTF_ORDERFLOW · 15m

HOLD

81,568

Entry / SL / TP

81,568 / 77,489 / 89,724

Confidence

50%

45→50

MTF condition not met, HOLD

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

BUY

2,510.74

Entry / SL / TP

2,510.74 / 2,473.08 / 2,636.28

Confidence

77%

70→77

RISK-ON macro, BULL market phase, positive TA signal.

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

BUY

1.4719

Entry / SL / TP

1.4719 / 1.3541 / 1.7074

Confidence

92%

84→92

Bullish macro & market phase, AI VWAP bullish signal.

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

BUY

105.29

Entry / SL / TP

105.29 / 96.8668 / 122.14

Confidence

77%

70→77

RISK-ON macro, BULL market, bullish tech

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP09/03 22:06HOLD217.03

ASML09/03 22:06HOLD1,646.19

PBR09/03 22:06HOLD20.5100

VALE09/03 22:05BUY15.3100

SHIB-USD09/03 22:05HOLD0.000005

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →