Daily Briefing · October 24, 2026 · Post-US Market [ID]

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

October 24, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

NEUTRAL

Overall AI Stance · Score +20

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

NEUTRAL

Gambaran umum makro: NETRAL (skor +20).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +20NEUTRAL

Sahm Rule

0.0

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.31

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.78

Normal+5

CPI YoY

4.0

High Inflation-15

Fed Funds Rate

3.75

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

50 · Neutral

Balanced0

DXY

101.8

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.2

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-15 · Unemp+5 = +20

NEUTRAL

Sinyal beragam — posisi seimbang direkomendasikan

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

BEAR

S&P 500 · data 2026-10-23

7,623.68

BEAR

-1.3% vs MA20 · Weak BEAR

MA20Below (7,727)

ADX14 — Weak

TrendWeak BEAR

Bitcoin · data 2026-10-23

81,295.00

BEAR

-1.9% vs MA20 · Weak BEAR

MA20Below (82,840)

ADX17 — Weak

TrendWeak BEAR

VIX · data 2026-10-23

19.45

Normal

+2.2% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Energy leading

Energi (XLE)

+11.8%×1.05

Utilitas (XLU)

+7.7%×1.05

Barang Konsumsi Pokok (XLP)

+7.6%×1.05

Kesehatan (XLV)

+5.0%×1.00

Material (XLB)

+3.0%×1.00

Real Estat (XLRE)

+2.4%×1.00

Keuangan (XLF)

+1.9%×1.00

Barang Konsumsi Primer (XLY)

+2.3%×1.00

Industri (XLI)

-3.4%×0.90

Komunikasi (XLC)

-6.6%×0.90

Teknologi (XLK)

-6.6%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalDefensive rotation — Staples·Utilities·Healthcare leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 0 · SELL 0 · HOLD 10

SPY

NO_ENTRY · 1d

HOLD

759.97

Entry / SL / TP

759.97 / 737.17 / 805.57

Confidence

0→0

SPY BEAR 국면 진입 확인 — 검증된 전략 없어 신규 진입 보류 (2026-07-25 Bear Sweep: GCS/AI_VWAP/BEAR_DEFENSE/MTF_ORDERFLOW × 4h/1d 전 조합 MIN_TRADES 미달)

AAPL

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

347.73

Entry / SL / TP

347.73 / 360.55 / 328.49

Confidence

29%

32→29

Bear market, neutral macro, weak sector, tech hold.

NVDA

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

210.96

Entry / SL / TP

210.96 / 223.08 / 192.78

Confidence

29%

32→29

BEAR market, weak tech sector, HOLD technical signal

TSM

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

418.51

Entry / SL / TP

418.51 / 444.12 / 380.09

Confidence

35%

35→35

Bear market, neutral macro, technicals suggest hold.

MELI

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

1,810.15

Entry / SL / TP

1,810.15 / 1,916.79 / 1,650.19

Confidence

35%

35→35

Neutral macro, bear market, holding strategy

005930.KS

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

215,500

Entry / SL / TP

215,500 / 241,694 / 176,209

Confidence

35%

35→35

Neutral macro, BEAR market, HOLD signal

BTC-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

81,282

Entry / SL / TP

81,282 / 77,128 / 89,591

Confidence

35%

35→35

Neutral macro, BEAR market phase. Holding.

ETH-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

HOLD

2,397.89

Entry / SL / TP

2,397.89 / 2,218.04 / 2,757.59

Confidence

40%

40→40

Neutral macro, Bear market phase, holding strategy.

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

1.3075

Entry / SL / TP

1.3075 / 1.2029 / 1.5167

Confidence

30%

30→30

BEAR market overrides BUY signal. Neutral macro.

SOL-USD

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

103.67

Entry / SL / TP

103.67 / 112.05 / 91.1065

Confidence

35%

35→35

Neutral macro, BEAR market. Holding based on strategy.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP10/23 22:08HOLD238.14

ASML10/23 22:08HOLD1,571.80

PBR10/23 22:08HOLD26.1600

VALE10/23 22:08HOLD12.4000

DOGE-USD10/23 22:08HOLD0.079300

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →