Daily Briefing · October 20, 2026 · Post-US Market [ID]

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

October 20, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

NEUTRAL

Overall AI Stance · Score +20

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

NEUTRAL

Gambaran umum makro: NETRAL (skor +20).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +20NEUTRAL

Sahm Rule

0.0

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.38

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.88

Normal+5

CPI YoY

4.0

High Inflation-15

Fed Funds Rate

3.75

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

59 · Greed

Balanced0

DXY

102.0

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.2

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-15 · Unemp+5 = +20

NEUTRAL

Sinyal beragam — penyeimbangan posisi direkomendasikan

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-10-19

7,690.73

BEAR

-0.6% vs MA20 · Weak BEAR

MA20Below (7,736)

ADX12 — Weak

TrendWeak BEAR

Bitcoin · data 2026-10-19

81,995.19

SIDEWAYS

-1.5% vs MA20 · Sideways

MA20Below (83,252)

ADX22 — Weak

TrendSideways

VIX · data 2026-10-19

18.44

Normal

-7.8% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Energy leading

Energi (XLE)

+8.6%×1.05

Barang Konsumen Pokok (XLP)

+6.5%×1.05

Perawatan Kesehatan (XLV)

+3.9%×1.05

Barang Konsumen Non-Pokok (XLY)

+2.0%×1.00

Material (XLB)

+2.5%×1.00

Utilitas (XLU)

+1.7%×1.00

Keuangan (XLF)

-1.5%×1.00

Real Estat (XLRE)

-2.2%×1.00

Industri (XLI)

-1.9%×0.90

Komunikasi (XLC)

-4.1%×0.90

Teknologi (XLK)

-4.6%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalDefensive rotation — Staples·Utilities·Healthcare leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 0 · SELL 0 · HOLD 10

SPY

GCS · 1d

HOLD

766.48

Entry / SL / TP

766.48 / 754.98 / 797.14

Confidence

50%

50→50

Neutral macro, sideways market, technical HOLD signal.

AAPL

GCS · 1d

HOLD

342.94

Entry / SL / TP

342.94 / 337.80 / 356.66

Confidence

34%

38→34

Neutral macro, sideways market, tech weak. Hold strategy.

NVDA

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

217.09

Entry / SL / TP

217.09 / 205.23 / 240.81

Confidence

32%

35→32

Neutral macro, sideways/bear market, weak tech sector

TSM

GCS · 1d

HOLD

420.22

Entry / SL / TP

420.22 / 426.52 / 403.41

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro, sideways market, technical HOLD signal.

MELI

GCS · 1d

HOLD

1,839.72

Entry / SL / TP

1,839.72 / 1,876.51 / 1,747.73

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro, sideways market, technicals suggest hold.

005930.KS

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

218,000

Entry / SL / TP

218,000 / 244,041 / 178,938

Confidence

50%

50→50

Bear market, neutral macro, technicals support holding.

BTC-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

82,033

Entry / SL / TP

82,033 / 77,959 / 90,180

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro/market, holding AI_VWAP uptrend.

ETH-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

HOLD

2,405.02

Entry / SL / TP

2,405.02 / 2,221.81 / 2,771.44

Confidence

40%

40→40

Neutral macro/market, HOLD signal, below 50% confidence.

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

1.3054

Entry / SL / TP

1.3054 / 1.2010 / 1.5143

Confidence

50%

50→50

BEAR market, technical BUY signal. Downgraded to HOLD.

SOL-USD

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

105.11

Entry / SL / TP

105.11 / 114.05 / 91.6966

Confidence

35%

35→35

Neutral macro, BEAR crypto. Technicals point to HOLD.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP10/19 22:07HOLD226.03

ASML10/19 22:07HOLD1,647.12

PBR10/19 22:07HOLD25.5600

VALE10/19 22:07HOLD13.1100

DOGE-USD10/19 22:07HOLD0.079660

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →