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Daily Briefing · October 14, 2026 · Post-US Market

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

October 14, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +30

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted
RISK-ON

Buy signals: SPY (85%), AAPL (99%), NVDA (85%). Sell signals: 005930.KS (85%). Bullish macro/market, AI_VWAP uptrend, leading sectors. Bullish macro/market, AI_VWAP buy signal. Overall macro: RISK-ON (score +30).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment
Score +30RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

0.0

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.42

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.95

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.7

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.75

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

57 · Greed

Balanced0

DXY

102.2

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.2

Healthy+5
ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 · Unemp+5 = +30
RISK-ON

Risk appetite elevated — growth assets favored

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX
MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-10-13

7,805.45

BULL

+1.0% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (7,725)
ADX9 — Weak
TrendWeak BULL

Bitcoin · data 2026-10-13

83,370.66

SIDEWAYS

-0.7% vs MA20 · Sideways

MA20Below (83,956)
ADX30 — Strong
TrendSideways

VIX · data 2026-10-13

15.27

Normal

+0.4% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15
Normal15 – 25
High / Extreme> 25 / > 35
L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum
Energy leading
Energy (XLE)
+2.5%×1.05
Consumer Staples (XLP)
+1.2%×1.05
Healthcare (XLV)
+1.6%×1.05
Technology (XLK)
+7.0%×1.00
Utilities (XLU)
+2.1%×1.00
Communication (XLC)
-1.2%×1.00
Consumer Disc. (XLY)
+1.6%×1.00
Materials (XLB)
-1.5%×1.00
Real Estate (XLRE)
-2.1%×0.90
Financials (XLF)
-3.2%×0.90
Industrials (XLI)
+0.2%×0.90
L4 Rotation SignalDefensive rotation — Staples·Utilities·Healthcare leading
L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF
BUY 6 · SELL 1 · HOLD 3

SPY

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

778.01

Entry / SL / TP

778.01 / 765.93 / 802.18

Confidence

85%

77→85

Bullish macro/market, AI_VWAP uptrend, leading sectors.

SPY chart

AAPL

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

341.27

Entry / SL / TP

341.27 / 327.78 / 368.24

Confidence

99%

90→99

Bullish macro/market, AI_VWAP buy signal.

AAPL chart

NVDA

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

228.52

Entry / SL / TP

228.52 / 217.34 / 250.87

Confidence

85%

77→85

Bullish macro, market, positive VWAP trend.

NVDA chart

TSM

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

445.12

Entry / SL / TP

445.12 / 422.95 / 489.47

Confidence

72%

65→72

Bullish macro/market, cautious technical.

TSM chart

MELI

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

1,876.04

Entry / SL / TP

1,876.04 / 1,766.51 / 2,095.09

Confidence

80%

73→80

Bullish macro/market, AI_VWAP upward trend.

MELI chart

005930.KS

GCS · 1d

SELL

232,000

Entry / SL / TP

232,000 / 235,480 / 222,720

Confidence

85%

77→85

GCS SELL signal, RSI low, RISK-ON macro.

005930.KS chart

BTC-USD

GCS · 4h

BUY

83,359

Entry / SL / TP

83,359 / 82,108 / 87,527

Confidence

82%

75→82

Bullish macro, sideways crypto, above Gaussian, RSI neutral.

BTC-USD chart

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

HOLD

2,507.15

Entry / SL / TP

2,507.15 / 2,381.79 / 2,544.76

Confidence

50%

45→50

Technical HOLD signal, weak RSI, price below Gaussian

ETH-USD chart

XRP-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

1.3665

Entry / SL / TP

1.3665 / 1.2982 / 1.3938

Confidence

50%

45→50

Macro RISK-ON, but tech & market sideways. Hold.

XRP-USD chart

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

106.83

Entry / SL / TP

106.83 / 98.2836 / 123.92

Confidence

55%

50→55

HOLD based on AI_VWAP signal; risk-on macro

SOL-USD chart

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP10/13 22:07HOLD219.75
ASML10/13 22:07HOLD1,717.76
PBR10/13 22:07HOLD25.5000
VALE10/13 22:07HOLD13.3700
DOGE-USD10/13 22:07HOLD0.084420

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon