Daily Briefing · October 13, 2026 · US Market Open

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

October 13, 2026

US Market Open · 23:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +30

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

Buy signals: AAPL (96%), NVDA (97%), TSM (85%). Sell signals: 005930.KS (63%). Bullish macro/market. AI_VWAP BUY signal. Bullish macro, market phase, and AI_VWAP trend. Overall macro: RISK-ON (score +30).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +30RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

0.0

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.44

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.99

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.7

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.75

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

57 · Greed

Balanced0

DXY

102.3

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.2

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 · Unemp+5 = +30

RISK-ON

Risk appetite elevated — growth assets favored

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-10-13

7,805.75

BULL

+1.0% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (7,725)

ADX9 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

Bitcoin · data 2026-10-13

83,136.81

SIDEWAYS

-1.0% vs MA20 · Sideways

MA20Below (83,944)

ADX30 — Strong

TrendSideways

VIX · data 2026-10-13

15.18

Normal

-0.2% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Energy leading

Energy (XLE)

+1.8%×1.05

Consumer Staples (XLP)

+1.3%×1.05

Healthcare (XLV)

+1.9%×1.05

Technology (XLK)

+6.7%×1.00

Communication (XLC)

-0.8%×1.00

Consumer Disc. (XLY)

+1.5%×1.00

Utilities (XLU)

+0.4%×1.00

Real Estate (XLRE)

-2.3%×1.00

Financials (XLF)

-3.1%×0.90

Industrials (XLI)

-0.3%×0.90

Materials (XLB)

-2.0%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalDefensive rotation — Staples·Utilities·Healthcare leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 3 · SELL 1 · HOLD 6

SPY

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

777.58

Entry / SL / TP

777.58 / 765.67 / 801.40

Confidence

55%

50→55

RISK-ON macro, BULL market phase. Technical HOLD signal.

AAPL

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

344.82

Entry / SL / TP

344.82 / 331.37 / 371.73

Confidence

96%

87→96

Bullish macro/market. AI_VWAP BUY signal.

NVDA

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

225.98

Entry / SL / TP

225.98 / 215.13 / 247.67

Confidence

97%

88→97

Bullish macro, market phase, and AI_VWAP trend.

TSM

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

442.65

Entry / SL / TP

442.65 / 420.64 / 486.67

Confidence

85%

77→85

RISK-ON macro, BULL market, VWAP uptrend

MELI

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

1,893.48

Entry / SL / TP

1,893.48 / 1,784.00 / 2,112.43

Confidence

55%

50→55

HOLD signal. Bullish macro/market.

005930.KS

GCS · 1d

SELL

232,000

Entry / SL / TP

232,000 / 235,480 / 222,720

Confidence

63%

57→63

Technical SELL signal overrides neutral market & macro. GCS lower bound break.

BTC-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

83,413

Entry / SL / TP

83,413 / 82,162 / 87,584

Confidence

55%

50→55

RISK-ON macro & BULL US. Hold with care.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

HOLD

2,512.07

Entry / SL / TP

2,512.07 / 2,386.47 / 2,549.75

Confidence

44%

40→44

Strategy HOLD, RSI low, above SL/TP.

XRP-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

1.3676

Entry / SL / TP

1.3676 / 1.2992 / 1.3950

Confidence

55%

50→55

RISK-ON macro, but sideways crypto & HOLD TA.

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

107.26

Entry / SL / TP

107.26 / 98.6792 / 124.42

Confidence

48%

44→48

AI VWAP bullish, but RSI weak. Sideways market.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP10/13 14:07HOLD220.78

ASML10/13 14:07HOLD1,713.02

PBR10/13 14:07HOLD25.3850

VALE10/13 14:07HOLD13.3550

SHIB-USD10/13 14:07BUY0.000005

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

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