Daily Briefing · October 13, 2026 · Post-US Market [ES]

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

October 13, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +25

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

Señales de compra: AAPL (88%), NVDA (88%), MELI (77%). Señales de venta: TSM (100%). Macro/mercado alcista, la tendencia VWAP apoya la subida RIESGO-ACTIVADO, mercado ALCISTA, señal positiva AI_VWAP. Macro general: RIESGO-ACTIVADO (puntuación +25).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +25RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

0.0

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.44

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.99

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.7

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.75

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

69 · Greed

Balanced0

DXY

102.6

Neutral0

Unemployment

—

No data0

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 = +25

RISK-ON

Apetito por el riesgo elevado — se favorecen los activos de crecimiento

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-10-12

7,807.24

BULL

+1.2% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (7,714)

ADX9 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

Bitcoin · data 2026-10-12

82,495.15

SIDEWAYS

-1.8% vs MA20 · Sideways

MA20Below (84,043)

ADX32 — Strong

TrendSideways

VIX · data 2026-10-12

15.21

Normal

+2.5% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Healthcare leading

Salud (XLV)

+2.9%×1.05

Energía (XLE)

+2.9%×1.05

Consumo Básico (XLP)

+0.7%×1.05

Tecnología (XLK)

+6.7%×1.00

Servicios Públicos (XLU)

+0.3%×1.00

Consumo Discrecional (XLY)

-0.3%×1.00

Bienes Raíces (XLRE)

-2.0%×1.00

Finanzas (XLF)

-3.1%×1.00

Industria (XLI)

-0.2%×0.90

Materiales (XLB)

-1.6%×0.90

Comunicaciones (XLC)

-2.8%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalDefensive rotation — Staples·Utilities·Healthcare leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 6 · SELL 1 · HOLD 3

SPY

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

778.10

Entry / SL / TP

778.10 / 765.52 / 803.26

Confidence

55%

50→55

AI_VWAP HOLD signal despite bullish macro/market.

AAPL

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

340.97

Entry / SL / TP

340.97 / 327.59 / 367.73

Confidence

88%

80→88

Bullish macro/market, VWAP trend supports upside

NVDA

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

226.32

Entry / SL / TP

226.32 / 215.14 / 248.67

Confidence

88%

80→88

RISK-ON, BULL market, positive AI_VWAP signal.

TSM

AI_VWAP · 1d

SELL

444.35

Entry / SL / TP

444.35 / 464.72 / 379.51

Confidence

100%

99→100

Strong SELL signal from Technicals, RISK-ON macro

MELI

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

1,892.44

Entry / SL / TP

1,892.44 / 1,779.54 / 2,118.25

Confidence

77%

70→77

RISK-ON macro, BULL market, AI_VWAP bullish

005930.KS

GCS · 1d

BUY

262,000

Entry / SL / TP

262,000 / 258,070 / 272,480

Confidence

84%

76→84

RISK-ON macro, positive market phase, GCS BUY signal.

BTC-USD

GCS · 4h

BUY

82,528

Entry / SL / TP

82,528 / 81,290 / 86,655

Confidence

77%

70→77

Risk-on macro, sideways crypto market. Bullish US.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

HOLD

2,491.37

Entry / SL / TP

2,491.37 / 2,454.00 / 2,615.94

Confidence

55%

50→55

HOLD signal, neutral crypto phase

XRP-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

1.3539

Entry / SL / TP

1.3539 / 1.2862 / 1.3810

Confidence

44%

40→44

GCS HOLD signal below centerline, weak RSI

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

BUY

107.32

Entry / SL / TP

107.32 / 98.7344 / 124.49

Confidence

86%

78→86

RISK-ON macro, AI_VWAP bullish, HOLD signal.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP10/12 22:07HOLD217.85

ASML10/12 22:07HOLD1,750.24

PBR10/12 22:07HOLD25.4200

VALE10/12 22:07HOLD13.5200

DOGE-USD10/12 22:07BUY0.084040

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →