Daily Briefing · October 04, 2026 · Post-US Market [AR]

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

October 04, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +30

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

إشارات شراء: AAPL (100%)، NVDA (85%)، TSM (77%). اقتصاد كلي صعودي، قطاع التكنولوجيا الرائد، إشارة شراء. اقتصاد كلي للمخاطرة (RISK-ON)، التكنولوجيا الرائدة، مؤشرات فنية صعودية. الاقتصاد الكلي العام: للمخاطرة (RISK-ON) (درجة +30).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +30RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

0.0

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.45

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

1.09

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.7

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.75

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

67 · Greed

Balanced0

DXY

101.9

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.2

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 · Unemp+5 = +30

RISK-ON

شهية المخاطرة مرتفعة — الأصول ذات النمو مفضلة

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-10-02

7,722.72

BULL

+0.7% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (7,670)

ADX9 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

Bitcoin · data 2026-10-03

84,708.57

BULL

+2.8% vs MA20 · Strong BULL

MA20Above (82,439)

ADX42 — Strong

TrendStrong BULL

VIX · data 2026-10-02

15.31

Normal

-6.6% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Technology leading

التكنولوجيا (XLK)

+7.6%×1.05

الطاقة (XLE)

-2.2%×1.05

الصناعات (XLI)

-2.4%×1.05

الاتصالات (XLC)

-2.4%×1.00

الرعاية الصحية (XLV)

-3.7%×1.00

السلع الاستهلاكية الأساسية (XLP)

-4.9%×1.00

السلع الاستهلاكية الكمالية (XLY)

-5.3%×1.00

المواد (XLB)

-6.7%×1.00

المرافق (XLU)

-6.8%×0.90

العقارات (XLRE)

-7.0%×0.90

المالية (XLF)

-8.3%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalEconomic expansion — Tech·Consumer·Industrials leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 6 · SELL 0 · HOLD 4

SPY

GCS · 1d

HOLD

769.64

Entry / SL / TP

769.64 / 758.10 / 800.43

Confidence

55%

50→55

Bullish macro, tech lead, but hold signal.

AAPL

GCS · 1d

BUY

333.69

Entry / SL / TP

333.69 / 328.68 / 347.04

Confidence

100%

89→100

Bullish macro, leading tech sector, BUY signal.

NVDA

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

233.95

Entry / SL / TP

233.95 / 222.15 / 257.56

Confidence

85%

74→85

RISK-ON macro, leading tech, bullish technicals.

TSM

GCS · 1d

BUY

472.78

Entry / SL / TP

472.78 / 465.69 / 491.69

Confidence

77%

70→77

GCS bullish, RISK-ON, tech lead, sideways market

MELI

GCS · 1d

HOLD

1,696.56

Entry / SL / TP

1,696.56 / 1,730.49 / 1,611.73

Confidence

38%

35→38

Bearish technicals outweigh risk-on macro.

005930.KS

MA_ALIGN · 1d

HOLD

276,000

Entry / SL / TP

276,000 / 265,324 / 297,351

Confidence

50%

45→50

MA alignment incomplete, awaiting entry signal.

BTC-USD

MTF_ORDERFLOW · 15m

HOLD

84,755

Entry / SL / TP

84,755 / 80,517 / 93,230

Confidence

50%

45→50

Strategy HOLD, MTF conditions not met. Risk-on macro.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

BUY

2,686.24

Entry / SL / TP

2,686.24 / 2,645.95 / 2,820.55

Confidence

97%

88→97

Bullish macro, crypto, tech leading. TA aligns.

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

BUY

1.4872

Entry / SL / TP

1.4872 / 1.3682 / 1.7252

Confidence

92%

84→92

RISK-ON macro, BULL crypto phase, strong tech, bullish TA

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

BUY

119.64

Entry / SL / TP

119.64 / 110.41 / 138.11

Confidence

77%

70→77

Bullish macro, market phase, tech lead. AI_VWAP bullish.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP10/03 22:06HOLD208.57

ASML10/03 22:06BUY1,867.31

PBR10/03 22:06BUY21.6500

VALE10/03 22:06BUY13.7600

SHIB-USD10/03 22:05BUY0.000006

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →