Daily Briefing · October 03, 2026 · Post-US Market [AR]

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

October 03, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +30

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

إشارات شراء: SPY (77%), AAPL (89%), TSM (86%). الاقتصاد الكلي يميل إلى المخاطرة (RISK-ON)، قطاع التكنولوجيا قوي، إشارات فنية صعودية. الاقتصاد الكلي يميل إلى المخاطرة (RISK-ON)، قطاع التكنولوجيا الرائد، إشارة شراء. الاقتصاد الكلي العام: يميل إلى المخاطرة (RISK-ON) (النتيجة +30).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +30RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

0.0

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.45

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

1.09

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.7

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.75

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

72 · Greed

Balanced0

DXY

101.9

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.2

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 · Unemp+5 = +30

RISK-ON

شهية المخاطرة مرتفعة — الأصول ذات النمو مفضلة

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-10-02

7,722.72

BULL

+0.7% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (7,670)

ADX9 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

Bitcoin · data 2026-10-02

84,509.34

BULL

+3.0% vs MA20 · Strong BULL

MA20Above (82,046)

ADX42 — Strong

TrendStrong BULL

VIX · data 2026-10-02

15.31

Normal

-6.6% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Technology leading

التكنولوجيا (XLK)

+7.6%×1.05

الطاقة (XLE)

-2.2%×1.05

الصناعات (XLI)

-2.4%×1.05

الاتصالات (XLC)

-2.4%×1.00

الرعاية الصحية (XLV)

-3.7%×1.00

السلع الاستهلاكية الأساسية (XLP)

-4.9%×1.00

السلع الاستهلاكية الكمالية (XLY)

-5.3%×1.00

المواد (XLB)

-6.7%×1.00

المرافق (XLU)

-6.8%×0.90

العقارات (XLRE)

-7.0%×0.90

الخدمات المالية (XLF)

-8.3%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalEconomic expansion — Tech·Consumer·Industrials leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 5 · SELL 0 · HOLD 5

SPY

GCS · 1d

BUY

769.64

Entry / SL / TP

769.64 / 758.10 / 800.43

Confidence

77%

70→77

RISK-ON macro, strong tech, bullish TA signals.

AAPL

GCS · 1d

BUY

333.69

Entry / SL / TP

333.69 / 328.68 / 347.04

Confidence

89%

77→89

RISK-ON macro, leading tech sector, BUY signal

NVDA

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

233.95

Entry / SL / TP

233.95 / 222.15 / 257.56

Confidence

58%

50→58

AI_VWAP HOLD signal, risk-on macro

TSM

GCS · 1d

BUY

472.78

Entry / SL / TP

472.78 / 465.69 / 491.69

Confidence

86%

78→86

Bullish macro, tech leading, positive TA

MELI

GCS · 1d

HOLD

1,696.56

Entry / SL / TP

1,696.56 / 1,730.49 / 1,611.73

Confidence

44%

40→44

Sideways market, Tech leading, RSI low, Hold signal.

005930.KS

MA_ALIGN · 1d

HOLD

276,000

Entry / SL / TP

276,000 / 265,324 / 297,351

Confidence

42%

38→42

MA alignment incomplete. Waiting for stronger signal.

BTC-USD

MTF_ORDERFLOW · 15m

HOLD

84,468

Entry / SL / TP

84,468 / 80,244 / 92,914

Confidence

55%

50→55

Technical conditions not met for strategy entry.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

BUY

2,663.16

Entry / SL / TP

2,663.16 / 2,623.21 / 2,796.32

Confidence

77%

70→77

GCS BUY, RISK-ON, BULLISH crypto, Tech leading

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

HOLD

1.4749

Entry / SL / TP

1.4749 / 1.3569 / 1.7109

Confidence

55%

50→55

HOLD signal; bullish macro/market, but capped confidence.

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

BUY

118.12

Entry / SL / TP

118.12 / 108.67 / 137.02

Confidence

90%

82→90

RISK-ON macro, BULLISH market, strong tech, bullish VWAP trend.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP10/02 22:06HOLD208.57

ASML10/02 22:06BUY1,867.31

PBR10/02 22:06BUY21.6500

VALE10/02 22:06HOLD13.7600

SHIB-USD10/02 22:06BUY0.000006

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →