Daily Briefing · October 02, 2026 · Post-US Market [TR]

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

October 02, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +30

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

Alım sinyalleri: SPY (85%), AAPL (92%), NVDA (91%). RISK-ON makro, teknoloji liderliğinde, GCS merkez hattının üzerinde. RISK-ON makro, Teknoloji sektörü liderliğinde, güçlü GCS sinyali. Genel makro: RISK-ON (puan +30).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +30RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

-0.07

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.46

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

1.07

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.7

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.75

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

74 · Greed

Balanced0

DXY

102.0

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.1

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 · Unemp+5 = +30

RISK-ON

Risk iştahı yükseldi — büyüme varlıkları tercih ediliyor

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-10-01

7,666.45

SIDEWAYS

-0.1% vs MA20 · Sideways

MA20Below (7,671)

ADX9 — Weak

TrendSideways

Bitcoin · data 2026-10-01

84,544.14

BULL

+3.5% vs MA20 · Strong BULL

MA20Above (81,669)

ADX42 — Strong

TrendStrong BULL

VIX · data 2026-10-01

16.39

Normal

+0.3% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Technology leading

Teknoloji (XLK)

+7.9%×1.05

Enerji (XLE)

-3.1%×1.05

Sanayi (XLI)

-2.1%×1.05

İletişim (XLC)

-1.9%×1.00

Sağlık (XLV)

-3.5%×1.00

Tüketici Ürünleri (XLY)

-5.1%×1.00

Temel Tüketim Malları (XLP)

-5.5%×1.00

Gayrimenkul (XLRE)

-6.2%×1.00

Kamu Hizmetleri (XLU)

-6.3%×0.90

Finans (XLF)

-7.0%×0.90

Materyaller (XLB)

-7.9%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalEconomic expansion — Tech·Consumer·Industrials leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 7 · SELL 0 · HOLD 3

SPY

GCS · 1d

BUY

763.99

Entry / SL / TP

763.99 / 752.53 / 794.55

Confidence

85%

77→85

RISK-ON macro, tech leading, above GCS centerline.

AAPL

GCS · 1d

BUY

330.32

Entry / SL / TP

330.32 / 325.37 / 343.53

Confidence

92%

80→92

RISK-ON macro, leading Tech sector, strong GCS signal.

NVDA

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

230.86

Entry / SL / TP

230.86 / 219.23 / 254.12

Confidence

91%

79→91

Bullish macro, leading tech sector, positive AI_VWAP trend.

TSM

GCS · 1d

BUY

459.20

Entry / SL / TP

459.20 / 452.31 / 477.57

Confidence

88%

80→88

RISK-ON macro, leading tech sector, positive TA signals

MELI

GCS · 1d

HOLD

1,685.12

Entry / SL / TP

1,685.12 / 1,718.82 / 1,600.86

Confidence

42%

38→42

Mixed signals: RISK-ON macro, SIDEWAYS market, weak tech, bearish TA.

005930.KS

MA_ALIGN · 1d

HOLD

276,000

Entry / SL / TP

276,000 / 264,889 / 298,223

Confidence

55%

50→55

HOLD: MA alignment incomplete; await entry signal.

BTC-USD

MTF_ORDERFLOW · 15m

HOLD

84,714

Entry / SL / TP

84,714 / 80,479 / 93,186

Confidence

50%

45→50

MTF conditions not met, holding above golden zone.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

BUY

2,699.99

Entry / SL / TP

2,699.99 / 2,659.49 / 2,834.99

Confidence

84%

76→84

RISK-ON macro, BULL crypto, GCS BUY signal

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

BUY

1.4945

Entry / SL / TP

1.4945 / 1.3749 / 1.7336

Confidence

85%

77→85

Bullish macro, crypto phase, and tech sector lead.

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

BUY

118.08

Entry / SL / TP

118.08 / 108.63 / 136.97

Confidence

82%

75→82

Bullish macro/market phase, AI_VWAP bullish signal.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP10/01 22:06BUY210.79

ASML10/01 22:06BUY1,808.49

PBR10/01 22:06BUY20.9800

VALE10/01 22:06BUY13.4500

SHIB-USD10/01 22:06HOLD0.000006

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →