Daily Briefing · June 26, 2026 · US Market Open

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

June 26, 2026

US Market Open · 23:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +30

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

Overall macro: RISK-ON (score +30).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +30RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

0.1

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.31

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.56

Normal+5

CPI YoY

4.3

High Inflation-15

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

13 · Extreme Fear

Contrarian Buy+10

DXY

101.1

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.3

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-15 · FG+10 · Unemp+5 = +30

RISK-ON

Risk appetite elevated — growth assets favored

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-06-26

7,343.74

BEAR

-1.5% vs MA20 · Weak BEAR

MA20Below (7,454)

ADX22 — Weak

TrendWeak BEAR

Bitcoin · data 2026-06-26

60,152.58

BEAR

-4.8% vs MA20 · Strong BEAR

MA20Below (63,219)

ADX35 — Strong

TrendStrong BEAR

VIX · data 2026-06-26

20.29

Normal

+7.4% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Healthcare leading

Healthcare (XLV)

+6.5%×1.05

Industrials (XLI)

+5.3%×1.05

Financials (XLF)

+4.6%×1.05

Utilities (XLU)

+3.8%×1.00

Real Estate (XLRE)

+1.9%×1.00

Consumer Staples (XLP)

+1.3%×1.00

Materials (XLB)

+1.3%×1.00

Technology (XLK)

-2.5%×1.00

Energy (XLE)

-4.4%×0.90

Consumer Disc. (XLY)

-6.6%×0.90

Communication (XLC)

-9.3%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalDefensive rotation — Staples·Utilities·Healthcare leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 0 · SELL 0 · HOLD 10

SPY

GCS · 1d

HOLD

731.67

Entry / SL / TP

731.67 / 702.40 / 742.65

Confidence

55%

50→55

Tech HOLD, bearish Gaussian, US SIDEWAYS, macro RISK-ON.

AAPL

GCS · 1d

HOLD

276.70

Entry / SL / TP

276.70 / 265.63 / 280.85

Confidence

55%

50→55

Macro RISK-ON, market SIDEWAYS. TA HOLD, below Gaussian, low RSI.

NVDA

GCS · 1d

HOLD

193.82

Entry / SL / TP

193.82 / 197.70 / 184.13

Confidence

55%

50→55

Technical HOLD (Gaussian below, RSI 38.4); Macro RISK-ON, market SIDEWAYS.

TSM

GCS · 1d

HOLD

423.38

Entry / SL / TP

423.38 / 417.03 / 440.31

Confidence

55%

50→55

Tech HOLD in RISK-ON, sideways market. TSM not leading sector.

MELI

GCS · 1d

HOLD

1,629.20

Entry / SL / TP

1,629.20 / 1,661.78 / 1,547.74

Confidence

55%

50→55

GCS signal HOLD (below center line, RSI neutral). Macro RISK-ON.

005930.KS

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

339,500

Entry / SL / TP

339,500 / 388,924 / 265,364

Confidence

55%

50→55

Tech signal HOLD (EMA200 above), despite KR market BEAR. Macro is RISK-ON.

BTC-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

59,852

Entry / SL / TP

59,852 / 55,180 / 69,195

Confidence

50%

45→50

ML VWAP down, RSI 31.1, crypto BEAR market despite RISK-ON macro.

ETH-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

HOLD

1,561.99

Entry / SL / TP

1,561.99 / 1,437.03 / 1,811.91

Confidence

44%

40→44

Mixed signals, technical HOLD, crypto BEAR

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

1.0411

Entry / SL / TP

1.0411 / 0.957812 / 1.2077

Confidence

55%

50→55

ML VWAP downtrend & BEAR crypto market; HOLD despite RISK-ON macro.

SOL-USD

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

71.0100

Entry / SL / TP

71.0100 / 78.7260 / 59.4359

Confidence

55%

50→55

Crypto in BEAR market; technical HOLD signal persists; 하락장 지속.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP06/26 14:16HOLD153.57

ASML06/26 14:16SELL1,799.13

PBR06/26 14:16HOLD16.3150

VALE06/26 14:15HOLD15.1400

SHIB-USD06/26 14:15HOLD0.000004

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →