Daily Briefing · June 26, 2026 · Post-US Market [zh-CN]

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

June 26, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +30

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

卖出信号：AAPL (85%)。GCS 跌破，RSI 疲软。盘整市场，中性板块。宏观稳定。整体宏观：RISK-ON (评分 +30)。

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +30RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

0.1

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.31

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.56

Normal+5

CPI YoY

4.3

High Inflation-15

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

12 · Extreme Fear

Contrarian Buy+10

DXY

101.4

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.3

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-15 · FG+10 · Unemp+5 = +30

RISK-ON

风险偏好升高 — 看好增长型资产

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-06-25

7,357.49

SIDEWAYS

-1.4% vs MA20 · Sideways

MA20Below (7,465)

ADX22 — Weak

TrendSideways

Bitcoin · data 2026-06-25

60,076.98

BEAR

-5.0% vs MA20 · Strong BEAR

MA20Below (63,272)

ADX35 — Strong

TrendStrong BEAR

VIX · data 2026-06-25

18.89

Normal

+1.4% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Industrials leading

工业 (XLI)

+5.9%×1.05

医疗保健 (XLV)

+5.1%×1.05

金融 (XLF)

+4.3%×1.05

公用事业 (XLU)

+2.2%×1.00

房地产 (XLRE)

+0.8%×1.00

材料 (XLB)

+1.7%×1.00

消费必需品 (XLP)

-0.1%×1.00

科技 (XLK)

+0.2%×1.00

能源 (XLE)

-4.4%×0.90

消费非必需品 (XLY)

-6.6%×0.90

通信 (XLC)

-8.9%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalDefensive rotation — Staples·Utilities·Healthcare leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 0 · SELL 1 · HOLD 9

SPY

GCS · 1d

HOLD

734.30

Entry / SL / TP

734.30 / 704.93 / 745.31

Confidence

42%

38→42

Sideways market, tech HOLD signal, RISK-ON macro.

AAPL

GCS · 1d

SELL

275.15

Entry / SL / TP

275.15 / 279.28 / 264.14

Confidence

85%

77→85

GCS break lower, RSI weakness. Sideways market, neutral sector. Macro stable.

NVDA

GCS · 1d

HOLD

195.74

Entry / SL / TP

195.74 / 199.65 / 185.95

Confidence

50%

45→50

Sideways market, tech neutral, RSI low, below centerline.

TSM

GCS · 1d

HOLD

434.99

Entry / SL / TP

434.99 / 428.47 / 452.39

Confidence

55%

50→55

Macro RISK-ON, sideways market. Tech HOLD signal with bullish undercurrent.

MELI

GCS · 1d

HOLD

1,619.25

Entry / SL / TP

1,619.25 / 1,651.63 / 1,538.29

Confidence

38%

35→38

Sideways market phase, weak technicals despite macro.

005930.KS

GCS · 1d

HOLD

358,500

Entry / SL / TP

358,500 / 353,122 / 372,840

Confidence

55%

50→55

Macro RISK-ON, KR sideways. Tech HOLD (Gauss CL above, ascending, RSI 59.6).

BTC-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

59,886

Entry / SL / TP

59,886 / 55,211 / 69,237

Confidence

50%

45→50

ML VWAP downtrend in BEAR crypto market. RSI oversold, but HOLD.

ETH-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

HOLD

1,571.16

Entry / SL / TP

1,571.16 / 1,445.47 / 1,822.55

Confidence

44%

40→44

Tech HOLD, bearish crypto phase, RISK-ON macro

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

1.0389

Entry / SL / TP

1.0389 / 0.955788 / 1.2051

Confidence

44%

40→44

ML VWAP downtrend, RSI oversold, HOLD strategy.

SOL-USD

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

66.8900

Entry / SL / TP

66.8900 / 74.4632 / 55.5302

Confidence

55%

50→55

Macro RISK-ON but crypto BEAR market. Tech signal HOLD, downtrend persists, cash recommended.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP06/25 22:17HOLD148.06

ASML06/25 22:17BUY1,841.18

PBR06/25 22:17HOLD16.5200

VALE06/25 22:16BUY15.1200

SHIB-USD06/25 22:16HOLD0.000004

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →