Daily Briefing · June 25, 2026 · US Market Open

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

June 25, 2026

US Market Open · 23:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +30

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

Sell signals: AAPL (66%), NVDA (66%). AI analysis temporarily unavailable. Signal data based on L1–L5 indicators. AI analysis temporarily unavailable. Signal data based on L1–L5 indicators. Overall macro: RISK-ON (score +30).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +30RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

0.1

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.30

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.56

Normal+5

CPI YoY

4.3

High Inflation-15

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

12 · Extreme Fear

Contrarian Buy+10

DXY

101.5

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.3

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-15 · FG+10 · Unemp+5 = +30

RISK-ON

Risk appetite elevated — growth assets favored

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-06-25

7,333.45

BEAR

-1.7% vs MA20 · Weak BEAR

MA20Below (7,464)

ADX22 — Weak

TrendWeak BEAR

Bitcoin · data 2026-06-25

58,556.31

BEAR

-7.3% vs MA20 · Strong BEAR

MA20Below (63,196)

ADX35 — Strong

TrendStrong BEAR

VIX · data 2026-06-25

18.76

Normal

+0.7% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Industrials leading

Industrials (XLI)

+5.8%×1.05

Financials (XLF)

+5.6%×1.05

Healthcare (XLV)

+5.1%×1.05

Utilities (XLU)

+2.6%×1.00

Consumer Staples (XLP)

+1.0%×1.00

Real Estate (XLRE)

+0.7%×1.00

Materials (XLB)

+1.4%×1.00

Technology (XLK)

-1.6%×1.00

Energy (XLE)

-4.8%×0.90

Consumer Disc. (XLY)

-5.8%×0.90

Communication (XLC)

-8.8%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalDefensive rotation — Staples·Utilities·Healthcare leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 0 · SELL 2 · HOLD 8

SPY

GCS · 1d

HOLD

731.39

Entry / SL / TP

731.39 / 702.13 / 742.36

Confidence

50%

45→50

Strategy HOLD, sideways market, RISK-ON macro

AAPL

GCS · 1d

SELL

280.08

Entry / SL / TP

280.08 / 284.29 / 268.88

Confidence

66%

60→66

AI analysis temporarily unavailable. Signal data based on L1–L5 indicators.

NVDA

GCS · 1d

SELL

193.99

Entry / SL / TP

193.99 / 197.87 / 184.29

Confidence

66%

60→66

AI analysis temporarily unavailable. Signal data based on L1–L5 indicators.

TSM

GCS · 1d

HOLD

438.34

Entry / SL / TP

438.34 / 431.76 / 455.87

Confidence

55%

50→55

Tech HOLD (Gaussian above, RSI 53.8), RISK-ON macro, sideways market.

MELI

GCS · 1d

HOLD

1,648.47

Entry / SL / TP

1,648.47 / 1,730.89 / 1,615.50

Confidence

55%

50→55

Technical HOLD signal (GCS). Gaussian centerline above; RSI 50.1. Macro RISK-ON.

005930.KS

GCS · 1d

HOLD

358,500

Entry / SL / TP

358,500 / 353,122 / 372,840

Confidence

55%

50→55

Strategy signal HOLD despite positive macro; confidence capped per rule.

BTC-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

59,291

Entry / SL / TP

59,291 / 54,615 / 68,641

Confidence

55%

50→55

ML VWAP downtrend, below baseline. RSI 29.6. Crypto BEAR, despite macro RISK-ON.

ETH-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

HOLD

1,567.60

Entry / SL / TP

1,567.60 / 1,442.19 / 1,818.42

Confidence

55%

50→55

Strategy HOLD; VWAP downtrend, Crypto BEAR market, RSI 30.7

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

1.0380

Entry / SL / TP

1.0380 / 0.954960 / 1.2041

Confidence

50%

45→50

HOLD signal, VWAP down, RSI oversold. Alt-Crypto BEAR.

SOL-USD

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

66.0600

Entry / SL / TP

66.0600 / 73.6332 / 54.7002

Confidence

50%

45→50

Bearish crypto market, technical HOLD signal.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP06/25 14:18HOLD151.66

ASML06/25 14:18HOLD1,807.30

PBR06/25 14:18HOLD16.4200

VALE06/25 14:17HOLD14.9350

SHIB-USD06/25 14:17HOLD0.000004

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →