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Daily Briefing · June 25, 2026 · Post-US Market [ID]

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

June 25, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

NEUTRAL

Overall AI Stance · Score +15

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted
NEUTRAL

Makro keseluruhan: NETRAL (skor +15).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment
Score +15NEUTRAL

Sahm Rule

0.1

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

—

No data0

10Y−3M Spread

0.56

Normal+5

CPI YoY

4.3

High Inflation-15

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

17 · Extreme Fear

Contrarian Buy+10

DXY

101.6

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.3

Healthy+5
ScoreSahm+10 · 3M+5 · CPI-15 · FG+10 · Unemp+5 = +15
NEUTRAL

Sinyal beragam — penempatan posisi seimbang direkomendasikan

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX
MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-06-24

7,358.22

SIDEWAYS

-1.5% vs MA20 · Sideways

MA20Below (7,473)
ADX22 — Weak
TrendSideways

Bitcoin · data 2026-06-24

61,073.74

BEAR

-3.5% vs MA20 · Strong BEAR

MA20Below (63,318)
ADX34 — Strong
TrendStrong BEAR

VIX · data 2026-06-24

18.63

Normal

-4.4% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15
Normal15 – 25
High / Extreme> 25 / > 35
L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum
Financials leading
Keuangan (XLF)
+4.0%×1.05
Industri (XLI)
+3.6%×1.05
Kebutuhan Pokok Konsumen (XLP)
+1.7%×1.05
Utilitas (XLU)
+1.1%×1.00
Material (XLB)
+0.7%×1.00
Kesehatan (XLV)
+3.7%×1.00
Real Estat (XLRE)
+0.4%×1.00
Teknologi (XLK)
-1.0%×1.00
Konsumen Diskresioner (XLY)
-3.5%×0.90
Energi (XLE)
-6.7%×0.90
Komunikasi (XLC)
-7.6%×0.90
L4 Rotation SignalDefensive rotation — Staples·Utilities·Healthcare leading
L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF
BUY 0 · SELL 0 · HOLD 10

SPY

GCS · 1d

HOLD

733.24

Entry / SL / TP

733.24 / 722.24 / 762.57

Confidence

50%

50→50

Neutral macro/market, HOLD technicals, confidence capped

AAPL

GCS · 1d

HOLD

293.08

Entry / SL / TP

293.08 / 281.36 / 297.48

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro/market, technical HOLD, bearish RSI.

NVDA

GCS · 1d

HOLD

199.00

Entry / SL / TP

199.00 / 202.98 / 189.05

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro, sideways market, RSI below 50.

TSM

GCS · 1d

HOLD

440.83

Entry / SL / TP

440.83 / 434.22 / 458.46

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro, mixed market, hold above Gaussian.

MELI

GCS · 1d

HOLD

1,659.57

Entry / SL / TP

1,659.57 / 1,742.55 / 1,626.38

Confidence

50%

50→50

Neutral macro/market, technical HOLD signal.

005930.KS

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

340,500

Entry / SL / TP

340,500 / 388,305 / 268,792

Confidence

35%

35→35

Bear market, uncertain techs, holding cash.

BTC-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

60,989

Entry / SL / TP

60,989 / 56,570 / 69,826

Confidence

45%

45→45

Mixed signals, holding current position.

ETH-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

HOLD

1,621.53

Entry / SL / TP

1,621.53 / 1,491.81 / 1,880.97

Confidence

45%

45→45

Bearish crypto, neutral macro, technical HOLD signal.

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

1.0762

Entry / SL / TP

1.0762 / 0.990104 / 1.2484

Confidence

40%

40→40

Neutral macro, bear crypto. VWAP downtrend, RSI low.

SOL-USD

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

68.1100

Entry / SL / TP

68.1100 / 75.4915 / 57.0377

Confidence

30%

30→30

Bear market, neutral macro, RSI low. Hold cash.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP06/24 22:08HOLD152.75
ASML06/24 22:08HOLD1,762.77
PBR06/24 22:08HOLD16.4500
VALE06/24 22:08HOLD14.8400
SHIB-USD06/24 22:07HOLD0.000004

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →