Daily Briefing · June 24, 2026 · Post-US Market [KR]

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

June 24, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +30

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

매도 신호: NVDA (85%). GCS SELL 신호, RSI < 50, sideways 시장 전반 거시: RISK-ON (+30점).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +30RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

0.1

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.34

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.65

Normal+5

CPI YoY

4.3

High Inflation-15

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

23 · Extreme Fear

Contrarian Buy+10

DXY

101.4

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.3

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-15 · FG+10 · Unemp+5 = +30

RISK-ON

위험 선호도 상승 — 성장 자산 선호

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-06-23

7,365.46

SIDEWAYS

-1.5% vs MA20 · Sideways

MA20Below (7,481)

ADX21 — Weak

TrendSideways

Bitcoin · data 2026-06-23

62,522.87

BEAR

-1.5% vs MA20 · Strong BEAR

MA20Below (63,447)

ADX34 — Strong

TrendStrong BEAR

VIX · data 2026-06-23

19.49

Normal

+12.8% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Financials leading

금융 (XLF)

+4.1%×1.05

산업재 (XLI)

+4.0%×1.05

유틸리티 (XLU)

+0.0%×1.05

헬스케어 (XLV)

+2.0%×1.00

부동산 (XLRE)

+1.1%×1.00

필수소비재 (XLP)

-0.6%×1.00

기술 (XLK)

+2.2%×1.00

소재 (XLB)

+1.5%×1.00

임의소비재 (XLY)

-4.4%×0.90

커뮤니케이션 (XLC)

-6.8%×0.90

에너지 (XLE)

-7.8%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalDefensive rotation — Staples·Utilities·Healthcare leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 0 · SELL 1 · HOLD 9

SPY

GCS · 1d

HOLD

733.58

Entry / SL / TP

733.58 / 722.58 / 762.92

Confidence

55%

50→55

Technicals signal HOLD (Gaussian above, RSI 46.9), macro RISK-ON, market SIDEWAYS.

AAPL

GCS · 1d

HOLD

294.30

Entry / SL / TP

294.30 / 289.89 / 306.07

Confidence

55%

50→55

Strategy HOLD. RISKON macro. Sideways market. Price above Gaussian center.

NVDA

GCS · 1d

SELL

200.04

Entry / SL / TP

200.04 / 204.04 / 190.04

Confidence

85%

77→85

GCS SELL signal, RSI < 50, sideways market

TSM

GCS · 1d

HOLD

436.39

Entry / SL / TP

436.39 / 429.84 / 453.85

Confidence

55%

50→55

Macro bullish, market neutral. Technical HOLD with uptrend.

MELI

GCS · 1d

HOLD

1,583.66

Entry / SL / TP

1,583.66 / 1,615.33 / 1,504.48

Confidence

50%

45→50

Sideways market, bearish crypto. Tech RSI weak.

005930.KS

GCS · 1d

HOLD

310,000

Entry / SL / TP

310,000 / 305,350 / 322,400

Confidence

50%

45→50

Sideways market, technical HOLD, macro risk-on

BTC-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

62,632

Entry / SL / TP

62,632 / 58,468 / 70,958

Confidence

50%

45→50

Bearish market phase, weak technicals

ETH-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

HOLD

1,668.90

Entry / SL / TP

1,668.90 / 1,535.39 / 1,935.92

Confidence

42%

38→42

Bear market conflicts with risk-on. Hold due to AI VWAP signal.

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

1.1056

Entry / SL / TP

1.1056 / 1.0172 / 1.2825

Confidence

42%

38→42

Mixed signals: bullish macro, bearish crypto, weak tech

SOL-USD

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

69.4000

Entry / SL / TP

69.4000 / 76.5184 / 58.7223

Confidence

55%

50→55

Bear market, technical hold signal, risk-off.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP06/23 22:09HOLD153.38

ASML06/23 22:09HOLD1,778.46

PBR06/23 22:09HOLD17.0300

VALE06/23 22:09HOLD15.3100

DOGE-USD06/23 22:09SELL0.078810

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →