Daily Briefing · June 18, 2026 · Post-US Market [zh-CN]

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

June 18, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

NEUTRAL

Overall AI Stance · Score +10

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

NEUTRAL

Sell 信号：NVDA (65%), AAPL (80%)。MA_ALIGN SELL 信号，反向头寸，中性宏观 MA_ALIGN SELL 信号。Risk-off 宏观。科技中性板块。整体宏观：NEUTRAL (分数 +10)。

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +10NEUTRAL

Sahm Rule

0.1

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.29

Narrowing-5

10Y−3M Spread

0.66

Normal+5

CPI YoY

4.3

High Inflation-15

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

22 · Extreme Fear

Contrarian Buy+10

DXY

100.4

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.3

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread-5 · 3M+5 · CPI-15 · FG+10 · Unemp+5 = +10

NEUTRAL

信号不一 — 建议采取平衡的头寸

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · KOSPI

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-06-17

7,420.10

SIDEWAYS

-0.8% vs MA20 · Sideways

MA20Below (7,482)

ADX23 — Weak

TrendSideways

Bitcoin · data 2026-06-17

64,133.47

BEAR

-2.2% vs MA20 · Strong BEAR

MA20Below (65,551)

ADX39 — Strong

TrendStrong BEAR

KOSPI · data 2026-06-16

8,726.60

BULL

+8.1% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (8,073)

ADX24 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Industrials leading

工业 (XLI)

+6.4%×1.05

金融 (XLF)

+5.8%×1.05

材料 (XLB)

+6.1%×1.05

公用事业 (XLU)

+0.3%×1.00

医疗保健 (XLV)

+2.3%×1.00

消费必需品 (XLP)

-2.8%×1.00

科技 (XLK)

+7.2%×1.00

房地产 (XLRE)

+0.1%×1.00

非必需消费品 (XLY)

+0.4%×0.90

通信 (XLC)

-5.7%×0.90

能源 (XLE)

-10.8%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalRecovery — Financials·Energy·Industrials leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 0 · SELL 2 · HOLD 8

SPY

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

740.96

Entry / SL / TP

740.96 / 721.22 / 780.45

Confidence

50%

50→50

Neutral macro, hold signal. Tech is mixed.

NVDA

MA_ALIGN · 1d

SELL

204.65

Entry / SL / TP

204.65 / 174.08 / 219.94

Confidence

65%

65→65

MA_ALIGN SELL signal, inverse position, neutral macro

AAPL

MA_ALIGN · 1d

SELL

295.95

Entry / SL / TP

295.95 / 266.95 / 310.45

Confidence

80%

80→80

MA_ALIGN SELL signal. Risk-off macro. Tech neutral sector.

TSM

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

432.15

Entry / SL / TP

432.15 / 397.65 / 501.15

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro, mixed market phase, HOLD signal

BTC-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

64,134

Entry / SL / TP

64,134 / 59,711 / 72,980

Confidence

40%

40→40

Mixed signals, BEAR market crypto, HOLD strategy.

ETH-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

HOLD

1,734.70

Entry / SL / TP

1,734.70 / 1,595.92 / 2,012.25

Confidence

40%

40→40

Neutral macro, crypto bear, ML VWAP downtrend

SOL-USD

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

71.3800

Entry / SL / TP

71.3800 / 78.7343 / 60.3485

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro/market. Bearish crypto. Hold strategy. Low conviction.

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

1.1794

Entry / SL / TP

1.1794 / 1.0850 / 1.3681

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro, bearish crypto phase, technical HOLD.

005930.KS

GCS · 1d

HOLD

346,500

Entry / SL / TP

346,500 / 341,302 / 360,360

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro, sideways KR market, strong sectors. HOLD

MELI

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

1,631.82

Entry / SL / TP

1,631.82 / 1,504.09 / 1,887.28

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro, bearish ML VWAP, RSI < 50.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

MELI06/17 22:02HOLD1,631.82

005930.KS06/17 22:02HOLD346,500

XRP-USD06/17 22:01HOLD1.1794

SOL-USD06/17 22:01HOLD71.3800

ETH-USD06/17 22:01HOLD1,734.70

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →