Daily Briefing · July 31, 2026 · Post-US Market [AR]

هل أنت جديد على المؤشرات أو المصطلحات؟ تعرف على كيفية عمل تحليلات UQ←

ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

July 31, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +30

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

إشارات شراء: BTC-USD (99%), ETH-USD (81%). الاقتصاد الكلي يميل للمخاطرة (RISK-ON)، مرحلة صعودية للعملات المشفرة، مؤشرات فنية قوية يميل الاقتصاد الكلي للمخاطرة (RISK-ON)، العملات المشفرة في اتجاه صعودي (BULL)، مؤشرات فنية صعودية، الاستراتيجية متوافقة. الاقتصاد الكلي العام: يميل للمخاطرة (RISK-ON) (النتيجة +30).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +30RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

0.07

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.45

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.86

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.7

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

28 · Fear

Balanced0

DXY

100.0

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.2

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 · Unemp+5 = +30

RISK-ON

شهية المخاطرة مرتفعة — الأصول ذات النمو مفضلة

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-07-30

7,437.63

BEAR

-0.6% vs MA20 · Weak BEAR

MA20Below (7,481)

ADX17 — Weak

TrendWeak BEAR

Bitcoin · data 2026-07-30

64,669.18

BULL

+0.3% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (64,472)

ADX15 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

VIX · data 2026-07-30

17.09

Normal

-17.3% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Energy leading

الطاقة (XLE)

+11.7%×1.05

الرعاية الصحية (XLV)

+2.5%×1.05

المواد الاستهلاكية الأساسية (XLP)

+2.6%×1.05

العقارات (XLRE)

+2.5%×1.00

المواد (XLB)

+1.2%×1.00

المالية (XLF)

+4.0%×1.00

الصناعات (XLI)

-2.7%×1.00

المرافق (XLU)

-0.2%×1.00

التكنولوجيا (XLK)

-5.3%×0.90

الاتصالات (XLC)

-2.9%×0.90

السلع الاستهلاكية الكمالية (XLY)

-4.8%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalRecovery — Financials·Energy·Industrials leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 2 · SELL 0 · HOLD 8

SPY

NO_ENTRY · 1d

HOLD

741.69

Entry / SL / TP

741.69 / 719.44 / 786.19

Confidence

0→0

SPY BEAR 국면 진입 확인 — 검증된 전략 없어 신규 진입 보류 (2026-07-25 Bear Sweep: GCS/AI_VWAP/BEAR_DEFENSE/MTF_ORDERFLOW × 4h/1d 전 조합 MIN_TRADES 미달)

AAPL

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

333.43

Entry / SL / TP

333.43 / 349.55 / 309.25

Confidence

40%

40→40

Mixed signals: RISK-ON macro, BEAR market. Hold.

NVDA

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

195.04

Entry / SL / TP

195.04 / 210.05 / 172.52

Confidence

27%

27→27

Mixed signals; BEAR market + HOLD strategy.

TSM

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

403.31

Entry / SL / TP

403.31 / 440.86 / 346.98

Confidence

55%

50→55

Bear market, hold strategy, uncertain technicals.

MELI

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

1,885.73

Entry / SL / TP

1,885.73 / 1,998.30 / 1,716.88

Confidence

55%

50→55

Conflicting macro/market. Holding as per technicals.

005930.KS

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

207,000

Entry / SL / TP

207,000 / 257,052 / 131,922

Confidence

55%

50→55

BEAR market & Tech: HOLD. RISK-ON macro.

BTC-USD

MTF_ORDERFLOW · 15m

BUY

64,740

Entry / SL / TP

64,740 / 61,503 / 71,214

Confidence

99%

90→99

RISK-ON macro, bullish crypto phase, strong technicals

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

BUY

1,921.16

Entry / SL / TP

1,921.16 / 1,892.34 / 2,017.22

Confidence

81%

74→81

RISK-ON macro, BULL crypto, bullish TA, strategy aligned.

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

HOLD

1.0852

Entry / SL / TP

1.0852 / 1.0198 / 1.2159

Confidence

55%

50→55

Technical HOLD signal. Macro bullish but tech neutral.

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

74.5500

Entry / SL / TP

74.5500 / 69.6128 / 84.4244

Confidence

50%

45→50

Mixed signals, AI_VWAP bearish, holding despite risk-on

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP07/30 22:07SELL180.88

ASML07/30 22:07HOLD1,651.44

PBR07/30 22:06HOLD19.1200

VALE07/30 22:06HOLD14.9900

SHIB-USD07/30 22:06HOLD0.000005

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →