Daily Briefing · July 30, 2026 · Post-US Market [ID]

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

July 30, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

NEUTRAL

Overall AI Stance · Score +15

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

NEUTRAL

Sinyal jual: MELI (85%). Pasar BEARISH, dead cat bounce, sinyal jual kuat. Makro keseluruhan: NETRAL (skor +15).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +15NEUTRAL

Sahm Rule

0.07

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

—

No data0

10Y−3M Spread

0.84

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.7

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

29 · Fear

Balanced0

DXY

100.8

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.2

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 · Unemp+5 = +15

NEUTRAL

Sinyal beragam — penempatan posisi seimbang direkomendasikan

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-07-29

7,316.15

BEAR

-2.2% vs MA20 · Weak BEAR

MA20Below (7,483)

ADX16 — Weak

TrendWeak BEAR

Bitcoin · data 2026-07-29

63,809.76

SIDEWAYS

-1.0% vs MA20 · Sideways

MA20Below (64,440)

ADX16 — Weak

TrendSideways

VIX · data 2026-07-29

20.66

Normal

+13.5% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Energy leading

Energi (XLE)

+10.4%×1.05

Barang Konsumen Pokok (XLP)

+5.2%×1.05

Perawatan Kesehatan (XLV)

+4.8%×1.05

Real Estat (XLRE)

+4.4%×1.00

Material (XLB)

+1.8%×1.00

Finansial (XLF)

+5.7%×1.00

Utilitas (XLU)

-0.9%×1.00

Komunikasi (XLC)

+2.2%×1.00

Industri (XLI)

-4.6%×0.90

Konsumen Non-Pokok (XLY)

-4.8%×0.90

Teknologi (XLK)

-12.6%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalDefensive rotation — Staples·Utilities·Healthcare leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 0 · SELL 1 · HOLD 9

SPY

NO_ENTRY · 1d

HOLD

729.46

Entry / SL / TP

729.46 / 707.58 / 773.23

Confidence

0→0

SPY BEAR 국면 진입 확인 — 검증된 전략 없어 신규 진입 보류 (2026-07-25 Bear Sweep: GCS/AI_VWAP/BEAR_DEFENSE/MTF_ORDERFLOW × 4h/1d 전 조합 MIN_TRADES 미달)

AAPL

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

338.19

Entry / SL / TP

338.19 / 354.23 / 314.14

Confidence

32%

35→32

Bear market phase, but neutral macro & tech weakness.

NVDA

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

190.01

Entry / SL / TP

190.01 / 205.06 / 167.43

Confidence

29%

32→29

Neutral macro, bear market. HOLD strategy active.

TSM

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

374.67

Entry / SL / TP

374.67 / 410.06 / 321.59

Confidence

35%

35→35

Neutral macro, BEAR market, HOLD from TA

MELI

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

SELL

1,863.31

Entry / SL / TP

1,863.31 / 1,975.45 / 1,695.10

Confidence

85%

85→85

Bearish market, dead cat bounce, strong sell signal.

005930.KS

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

208,500

Entry / SL / TP

208,500 / 258,710 / 133,185

Confidence

40%

40→40

BEAR market, neutral macro. Hold cash.

BTC-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

63,951

Entry / SL / TP

63,951 / 67,148 / 62,991

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro, sideways market. Holding for now.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

HOLD

1,905.33

Entry / SL / TP

1,905.33 / 1,876.75 / 2,000.60

Confidence

40%

40→40

Neutral macro, sideways crypto. TA suggests HOLD.

XRP-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

1.0773

Entry / SL / TP

1.0773 / 1.0988 / 1.0234

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro, sideways crypto, technical HOLD signal

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

73.5600

Entry / SL / TP

73.5600 / 68.5027 / 83.6745

Confidence

40%

40→40

Neutral macro, sideways market, AI_VWAP HOLD signal.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP07/29 22:07SELL185.99

ASML07/29 22:07HOLD1,550.69

PBR07/29 22:07HOLD18.5900

VALE07/29 22:07HOLD14.6500

SHIB-USD07/29 22:07HOLD0.000005

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →