Daily Briefing · July 28, 2026 · Post-US Market

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

July 28, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +25

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

Buy signals: ETH-USD (79%), SOL-USD (79%). Bullish macro/market, strong technicals. BUY. Bullish macro, crypto phase, AI_VWAP signal. Overall macro: RISK-ON (score +25).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +25RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

0.07

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.34

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

—

No data0

CPI YoY

3.7

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

30 · Fear

Balanced0

DXY

101.5

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.2

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · CPI-5 · Unemp+5 = +25

RISK-ON

Risk appetite elevated — growth assets favored

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-07-27

7,413.18

BEAR

-1.0% vs MA20 · Weak BEAR

MA20Below (7,490)

ADX14 — Weak

TrendWeak BEAR

Bitcoin · data 2026-07-27

64,722.05

BULL

+0.5% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (64,379)

ADX16 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

VIX · data 2026-07-27

18.67

Normal

-0.2% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Energy leading

Energy (XLE)

+7.9%×1.05

Real Estate (XLRE)

+2.6%×1.05

Consumer Staples (XLP)

+1.7%×1.05

Utilities (XLU)

-0.4%×1.00

Materials (XLB)

-0.9%×1.00

Financials (XLF)

+6.4%×1.00

Healthcare (XLV)

+5.0%×1.00

Industrials (XLI)

-0.5%×1.00

Communication (XLC)

+2.0%×0.90

Consumer Disc. (XLY)

-2.2%×0.90

Technology (XLK)

-5.6%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalDefensive rotation — Staples·Utilities·Healthcare leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 2 · SELL 0 · HOLD 8

SPY

NO_ENTRY · 1d

HOLD

739.09

Entry / SL / TP

739.09 / 716.92 / 783.44

Confidence

0→0

SPY BEAR 국면 진입 확인 — 검증된 전략 없어 신규 진입 보류 (2026-07-25 Bear Sweep: GCS/AI_VWAP/BEAR_DEFENSE/MTF_ORDERFLOW × 4h/1d 전 조합 MIN_TRADES 미달)

AAPL

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

336.91

Entry / SL / TP

336.91 / 354.17 / 311.02

Confidence

40%

40→40

Mixed signals: RISK-ON macro, BEAR market. HOLD.

NVDA

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

196.51

Entry / SL / TP

196.51 / 211.91 / 173.42

Confidence

40%

40→40

Mixed signals; macro bullish, market bearish. Hold.

TSM

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

399.09

Entry / SL / TP

399.09 / 435.84 / 343.97

Confidence

50%

45→50

Mixed signals: Bullish macro, Bearish market. Hold.

MELI

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

1,819.74

Entry / SL / TP

1,819.74 / 1,931.96 / 1,651.41

Confidence

50%

45→50

Bear market, technical HOLD, mixed macro.

005930.KS

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

254,000

Entry / SL / TP

254,000 / 299,347 / 185,979

Confidence

55%

50→55

Bear market phase contradicts macro. Hold cash.

BTC-USD

MTF_ORDERFLOW · 15m

HOLD

64,628

Entry / SL / TP

64,628 / 61,413 / 77,489

Confidence

44%

40→44

MTF conditions not met, price below golden zone.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

BUY

1,934.30

Entry / SL / TP

1,934.30 / 1,905.29 / 2,031.02

Confidence

79%

72→79

Bullish macro/market, strong technicals. BUY.

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

HOLD

1.0822

Entry / SL / TP

1.0822 / 1.0160 / 1.2145

Confidence

50%

45→50

AI VWAP downtrend, RSI 44.2, holding for clarity.

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

BUY

75.3100

Entry / SL / TP

75.3100 / 70.2798 / 85.3704

Confidence

79%

72→79

Bullish macro, crypto phase, AI_VWAP signal.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP07/27 22:06SELL171.01

ASML07/27 22:06HOLD1,655.26

PBR07/27 22:06HOLD18.0000

VALE07/27 22:06HOLD14.7800

SHIB-USD07/27 22:06SELL0.000005

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

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