Daily Briefing · July 25, 2026 · US Market Open

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

July 25, 2026

US Market Open · 23:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +30

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

Overall macro: RISK-ON (score +30).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +30RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

0.07

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.36

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.73

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.7

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

27 · Fear

Balanced0

DXY

101.4

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.2

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 · Unemp+5 = +30

RISK-ON

Risk appetite elevated — growth assets favored

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-07-23

7,408.30

BEAR

-1.1% vs MA20 · Weak BEAR

MA20Below (7,487)

ADX13 — Weak

TrendWeak BEAR

Bitcoin · data 2026-07-25

64,091.07

BULL

-0.2% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Below (64,229)

ADX18 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

VIX · data 2026-07-23

18.70

Normal

+12.4% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Energy leading

Energy (XLE)

nan%×1.05

Utilities (XLU)

nan%×1.05

Real Estate (XLRE)

nan%×1.05

Financials (XLF)

nan%×1.00

Healthcare (XLV)

nan%×1.00

Industrials (XLI)

nan%×1.00

Technology (XLK)

nan%×1.00

Consumer Staples (XLP)

nan%×1.00

Materials (XLB)

nan%×0.90

Consumer Disc. (XLY)

nan%×0.90

Communication (XLC)

nan%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalRecovery — Financials·Energy·Industrials leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 0 · SELL 0 · HOLD 5

005930.KS

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

249,500

Entry / SL / TP

249,500 / 296,413 / 179,131

Confidence

44%

40→44

Mixed signals: BEAR market vs RISK-ON macro.

BTC-USD

MTF_ORDERFLOW · 15m

HOLD

64,065

Entry / SL / TP

64,065 / 60,862 / 70,472

Confidence

55%

50→55

MTF conditions not met, volume imbalance missing

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

HOLD

1,863.90

Entry / SL / TP

1,863.90 / 1,835.94 / 1,957.10

Confidence

55%

50→55

Technical HOLD signal. Macro is positive.

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

HOLD

1.0904

Entry / SL / TP

1.0904 / 1.0228 / 1.2257

Confidence

50%

45→50

AI_VWAP HOLD, mixed market, bullish macro

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

73.8100

Entry / SL / TP

73.8100 / 68.7777 / 83.8745

Confidence

50%

45→50

Strategy HOLD signal; lower confidence per rules.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

DOGE-USD07/25 14:06HOLD0.069910

TAO-USD07/25 14:06HOLD190.75

ONDO-USD07/25 14:06BUY0.380850

XLM-USD07/25 14:06HOLD0.178118

LTC-USD07/25 14:06HOLD45.9800

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →