Daily Briefing · July 25, 2026 · Post-US Market

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

July 25, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +30

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

Buy signals: ETH-USD (80%). RISK-ON macro, bullish crypto, positive TA. Overall macro: RISK-ON (score +30).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +30RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

0.07

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.36

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.73

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.7

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

28 · Fear

Balanced0

DXY

101.5

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.2

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 · Unemp+5 = +30

RISK-ON

Risk appetite elevated — growth assets favored

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-07-24

7,411.98

BEAR

-1.0% vs MA20 · Weak BEAR

MA20Below (7,490)

ADX14 — Weak

TrendWeak BEAR

Bitcoin · data 2026-07-24

64,080.00

BULL

-0.2% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Below (64,201)

ADX18 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

VIX · data 2026-07-24

18.58

Normal

-0.6% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Energy leading

Energy (XLE)

+10.2%×1.05

Real Estate (XLRE)

+3.0%×1.05

Utilities (XLU)

+1.0%×1.05

Materials (XLB)

-1.1%×1.00

Financials (XLF)

+5.3%×1.00

Healthcare (XLV)

+4.5%×1.00

Industrials (XLI)

-0.8%×1.00

Consumer Staples (XLP)

+0.2%×1.00

Communication (XLC)

+0.7%×0.90

Consumer Disc. (XLY)

-3.5%×0.90

Technology (XLK)

-4.7%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalRecovery — Financials·Energy·Industrials leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 1 · SELL 0 · HOLD 9

SPY

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

738.93

Entry / SL / TP

738.93 / 755.26 / 714.43

Confidence

50%

45→50

Mixed signals: RISK-ON macro, BEAR market. Technicals HOLD.

AAPL

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

333.02

Entry / SL / TP

333.02 / 349.55 / 308.23

Confidence

50%

50→50

BEAR market, HOLD signal, risk-off sentiment.

NVDA

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

206.84

Entry / SL / TP

206.84 / 221.35 / 185.08

Confidence

45%

45→45

Mixed signals: RISK-ON macro vs BEAR market & weak tech.

TSM

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

403.41

Entry / SL / TP

403.41 / 438.45 / 350.86

Confidence

55%

50→55

Mixed signals: RISK-ON macro vs BEAR market.

MELI

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

1,801.44

Entry / SL / TP

1,801.44 / 1,911.63 / 1,636.16

Confidence

55%

50→55

BEAR market & tech HOLD signal. Conserve cash.

005930.KS

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

249,500

Entry / SL / TP

249,500 / 296,413 / 179,131

Confidence

50%

45→50

Mixed signals, holding due to uncertain market

BTC-USD

MTF_ORDERFLOW · 15m

HOLD

64,078

Entry / SL / TP

64,078 / 60,874 / 70,485

Confidence

55%

50→55

MTF conditions not met, HOLD per rules.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

BUY

1,856.71

Entry / SL / TP

1,856.71 / 1,838.14 / 1,968.11

Confidence

80%

73→80

RISK-ON macro, bullish crypto, positive TA.

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

HOLD

1.0896

Entry / SL / TP

1.0896 / 1.0180 / 1.2328

Confidence

44%

40→44

Technical HOLD, mixed macro/market, below VWAP

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

73.6900

Entry / SL / TP

73.6900 / 68.3751 / 84.3197

Confidence

50%

45→50

AI_VWAP trend down, RSI low, HOLD strategy.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP07/24 22:06SELL160.00

ASML07/24 22:06HOLD1,757.09

PBR07/24 22:06HOLD18.7700

VALE07/24 22:06HOLD14.7900

DOGE-USD07/24 22:06HOLD0.069010

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

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Stock Analysis

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