Daily Briefing · July 24, 2026 · US Market Open

New to the indicators or terms? See how UQ analysis works→

ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

July 24, 2026

US Market Open · 23:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +30

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

Buy signals: ETH-USD (85%). RISK-ON macro, BULL crypto market, positive TA signals. Overall macro: RISK-ON (score +30).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +30RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

0.07

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.34

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.76

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.7

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

28 · Fear

Balanced0

DXY

101.5

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.2

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 · Unemp+5 = +30

RISK-ON

Risk appetite elevated — growth assets favored

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-07-24

7,404.27

BEAR

-1.1% vs MA20 · Weak BEAR

MA20Below (7,489)

ADX14 — Weak

TrendWeak BEAR

Bitcoin · data 2026-07-24

63,925.97

BULL

-0.4% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Below (64,193)

ADX18 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

VIX · data 2026-07-24

18.78

Normal

+0.4% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Energy leading

Energy (XLE)

+10.7%×1.05

Real Estate (XLRE)

+2.9%×1.05

Utilities (XLU)

+1.2%×1.05

Financials (XLF)

+4.5%×1.00

Healthcare (XLV)

+4.4%×1.00

Industrials (XLI)

-0.8%×1.00

Consumer Staples (XLP)

-0.4%×1.00

Materials (XLB)

-2.7%×1.00

Communication (XLC)

+0.7%×0.90

Consumer Disc. (XLY)

-3.9%×0.90

Technology (XLK)

-4.4%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalRecovery — Financials·Energy·Industrials leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 1 · SELL 0 · HOLD 9

SPY

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

738.55

Entry / SL / TP

738.55 / 754.32 / 714.89

Confidence

44%

40→44

Mixed signals; holding cash due to uncertainty.

AAPL

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

327.62

Entry / SL / TP

327.62 / 343.20 / 304.25

Confidence

50%

50→50

Conflicting macro/market, holding position.

NVDA

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

207.18

Entry / SL / TP

207.18 / 221.11 / 186.27

Confidence

50%

50→50

US BEAR market, weak sector, hold.

TSM

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

405.38

Entry / SL / TP

405.38 / 439.79 / 353.76

Confidence

44%

40→44

Mixed signals, strategy HOLD, BEAR market. Hold.

MELI

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

1,816.42

Entry / SL / TP

1,816.42 / 1,923.22 / 1,656.22

Confidence

55%

50→55

Technical HOLD, bearish market phase

005930.KS

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

249,500

Entry / SL / TP

249,500 / 296,413 / 179,131

Confidence

44%

40→44

Mixed signals: RISK-ON macro vs. BEAR market. Hold.

BTC-USD

MTF_ORDERFLOW · 15m

HOLD

63,926

Entry / SL / TP

63,926 / 60,730 / 70,319

Confidence

50%

45→50

Technical HOLD, macro/market bullish.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

BUY

1,848.24

Entry / SL / TP

1,848.24 / 1,829.76 / 1,959.13

Confidence

85%

77→85

RISK-ON macro, BULL crypto market, positive TA signals.

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

HOLD

1.0895

Entry / SL / TP

1.0895 / 1.0189 / 1.2307

Confidence

55%

50→55

Bullish macro/market, but weak technicals.

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

73.9900

Entry / SL / TP

73.9900 / 68.7977 / 84.3745

Confidence

44%

40→44

ML VWAP down trend, RSI neutral. Risk-on macro positive.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP07/24 14:08HOLD156.89

ASML07/24 14:08HOLD1,773.97

PBR07/24 14:08HOLD19.0300

VALE07/24 14:07HOLD14.7600

DOGE-USD07/24 14:07HOLD0.068370

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →