Daily Briefing · July 24, 2026 · Post-US Market [ID]

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

July 24, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +30

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

Makro keseluruhan: RISK-ON (skor +30).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +30RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

0.07

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.34

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.76

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.7

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

—

No data0

Fear & Greed

31 · Fear

Balanced0

DXY

101.4

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.2

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 · Unemp+5 = +30

RISK-ON

Selera risiko meningkat — aset pertumbuhan disukai

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-07-23

7,408.30

BEAR

-1.1% vs MA20 · Weak BEAR

MA20Below (7,487)

ADX13 — Weak

TrendWeak BEAR

Bitcoin · data 2026-07-23

65,118.18

BULL

+1.5% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (64,155)

ADX18 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

VIX · data 2026-07-23

18.70

Normal

+12.4% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Energy leading

Energi (XLE)

+10.8%×1.05

Utilitas (XLU)

+1.4%×1.05

Real Estat (XLRE)

+1.0%×1.05

Kesehatan (XLV)

+5.3%×1.00

Keuangan (XLF)

+3.9%×1.00

Industri (XLI)

+1.0%×1.00

Bahan Pokok Konsumen (XLP)

-1.5%×1.00

Material (XLB)

-1.7%×1.00

Teknologi (XLK)

-2.5%×0.90

Komunikasi (XLC)

-1.1%×0.90

Konsumen Diskr. (XLY)

-5.5%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalRecovery — Financials·Energy·Industrials leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 0 · SELL 0 · HOLD 10

SPY

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

738.18

Entry / SL / TP

738.18 / 754.78 / 713.28

Confidence

50%

45→50

Conflicting macro/market signals, bearish market phase.

AAPL

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

321.66

Entry / SL / TP

321.66 / 337.50 / 297.91

Confidence

50%

50→50

Mixed signals, HOLD as per technicals, US BEAR market

NVDA

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

208.76

Entry / SL / TP

208.76 / 223.29 / 186.96

Confidence

45%

45→45

Mixed signals: Risk-on macro vs BEAR market. HOLD advised.

TSM

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

415.58

Entry / SL / TP

415.58 / 451.04 / 362.39

Confidence

55%

50→55

Bear market, technical HOLD, macro uncertainty

MELI

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

1,798.70

Entry / SL / TP

1,798.70 / 1,910.82 / 1,630.52

Confidence

44%

40→44

Mixed signals. BEAR market dominates.

005930.KS

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

270,000

Entry / SL / TP

270,000 / 316,983 / 199,526

Confidence

55%

50→55

BEAR market, technical HOLD signal, neutral macro

BTC-USD

MTF_ORDERFLOW · 15m

HOLD

65,123

Entry / SL / TP

65,123 / 61,866 / 71,635

Confidence

55%

50→55

Technical conditions unmet despite bullish macro/market.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

HOLD

1,880.73

Entry / SL / TP

1,880.73 / 1,861.92 / 1,993.57

Confidence

44%

40→44

Strategy HOLD. Macro/market mixed. Technicals neutral.

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

HOLD

1.1088

Entry / SL / TP

1.1088 / 1.0372 / 1.2521

Confidence

44%

40→44

Mixed signals, technical HOLD, no strong trend

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

75.9800

Entry / SL / TP

75.9800 / 70.6849 / 86.5703

Confidence

48%

44→48

ML VWAP downtrend, RSI neutral, HOLD signal

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP07/23 22:07HOLD146.38

ASML07/23 22:07HOLD1,803.00

PBR07/23 22:07HOLD19.0000

VALE07/23 22:07HOLD14.8300

DOGE-USD07/23 22:07HOLD0.069560

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →