Daily Briefing · July 22, 2026 · US Market Open

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

July 22, 2026

US Market Open · 23:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +30

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

Buy signals: SPY (77%), AAPL (77%), NVDA (69%). RISK-ON macro, positive GCS signal, sideways US market. RISK-ON macro, sideways market, positive technicals. Overall macro: RISK-ON (score +30).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +30RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

0.07

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.37

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.76

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.7

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

33 · Fear

Balanced0

DXY

101.1

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.2

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 · Unemp+5 = +30

RISK-ON

Risk appetite elevated — growth assets favored

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-07-22

7,514.32

BULL

+0.4% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (7,485)

ADX12 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

Bitcoin · data 2026-07-22

65,896.57

BULL

+2.9% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (64,016)

ADX19 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

VIX · data 2026-07-22

17.09

Normal

+0.2% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Energy leading

Energy (XLE)

+8.8%×1.05

Real Estate (XLRE)

+1.0%×1.05

Consumer Staples (XLP)

+0.9%×1.05

Financials (XLF)

+4.3%×1.00

Utilities (XLU)

+0.8%×1.00

Communication (XLC)

+2.8%×1.00

Healthcare (XLV)

+5.2%×1.00

Industrials (XLI)

+0.8%×1.00

Consumer Disc. (XLY)

+1.1%×0.90

Materials (XLB)

-0.1%×0.90

Technology (XLK)

-2.1%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalRecovery — Financials·Energy·Industrials leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 7 · SELL 0 · HOLD 3

SPY

GCS · 1d

BUY

748.92

Entry / SL / TP

748.92 / 737.69 / 778.88

Confidence

77%

70→77

RISK-ON macro, positive GCS signal, sideways US market.

AAPL

GCS · 1d

BUY

325.59

Entry / SL / TP

325.59 / 320.71 / 338.61

Confidence

77%

78→77

RISK-ON macro, sideways market, positive technicals.

NVDA

GCS · 1d

BUY

207.49

Entry / SL / TP

207.49 / 203.34 / 217.86

Confidence

69%

70→69

RISK-ON, GCS bullish, sideways market ok.

TSM

GCS · 1d

HOLD

419.19

Entry / SL / TP

419.19 / 402.42 / 425.48

Confidence

38%

35→38

TSM HOLD signal. RSI below 50, bearish.

MELI

GCS · 1d

BUY

1,815.22

Entry / SL / TP

1,815.22 / 1,778.92 / 1,905.98

Confidence

77%

70→77

RISK-ON, Sideways US/Bull Crypto, Tech positive.

005930.KS

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

260,500

Entry / SL / TP

260,500 / 309,174 / 187,489

Confidence

44%

40→44

Bear market outlook + technical HOLD signal.

BTC-USD

MTF_ORDERFLOW · 15m

HOLD

66,043

Entry / SL / TP

66,043 / 62,741 / 72,647

Confidence

44%

40→44

Strategy HOLD signal; conditions not met.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

BUY

1,948.53

Entry / SL / TP

1,948.53 / 1,919.30 / 2,045.96

Confidence

87%

79→87

Risk-on macro, bull crypto, bullish tech signal.

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

BUY

1.1473

Entry / SL / TP

1.1473 / 1.0778 / 1.2862

Confidence

81%

74→81

RISK-ON macro, BULL crypto market, aligns with BUY signal.

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

BUY

78.1100

Entry / SL / TP

78.1100 / 72.8987 / 88.5326

Confidence

76%

69→76

Bullish crypto/macro, strategy BUY. Risk/reward 2.0.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP07/22 14:09HOLD151.83

ASML07/22 14:09BUY1,789.64

PBR07/22 14:09BUY19.0250

VALE07/22 14:08HOLD14.6850

DOGE-USD07/22 14:08HOLD0.072970

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

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Stock Analysis

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