ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING
July 22, 2026
Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis
Overall AI Stance · Score +40
买入信号：SPY (77%), AAPL (75%), MELI (80%)。RISK-ON, GCS BUY, 强势板块, sideways mkt RISK-ON macro, GCS aligned, TA bullish, high R:R。整体宏观：RISK-ON (评分+40)。
Sahm Rule
0.07
10Y−2Y Spread
0.37
10Y−3M Spread
0.76
CPI YoY
3.7
Fed Funds Rate
3.63
Fear & Greed
25 · Extreme Fear
DXY
101.2
Unemployment
4.2
风险偏好升高 — 偏好成长型资产
S&P 500 · data 2026-07-21
7,509.20
+0.4% vs MA20 · Weak BULL
Bitcoin · data 2026-07-21
66,323.61
+4.0% vs MA20 · Weak BULL
VIX · data 2026-07-21
17.05
-8.6% 1d · Volatility Index
SPY
GCS · 1d
748.28
Entry / SL / TP
748.28 / 737.06 / 778.21
Confidence
77%
70→77
RISK-ON, GCS BUY, strong sectors, sideways mkt
AAPL
GCS · 1d
327.74
Entry / SL / TP
327.74 / 322.82 / 340.85
Confidence
75%
76→75
RISK-ON macro, GCS aligned, TA bullish, high R:R.
NVDA
GCS · 1d
207.29
Entry / SL / TP
207.29 / 203.14 / 217.65
Confidence
36%
36→36
Mixed market signals, HOLD aligned with TA.
TSM
GCS · 1d
424.61
Entry / SL / TP
424.61 / 407.63 / 430.98
Confidence
50%
45→50
Technical HOLD signal, RSI neutral, above Gaussian.
MELI
GCS · 1d
1,822.65
Entry / SL / TP
1,822.65 / 1,786.20 / 1,913.78
Confidence
80%
73→80
RISK-ON macro, GCS positive on daily chart.
005930.KS
BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d
259,000
Entry / SL / TP
259,000 / 308,802 / 184,296
Confidence
55%
50→55
Conflicting signals, HOLD on uncertainty.
BTC-USD
MTF_ORDERFLOW · 15m
66,307
Entry / SL / TP
66,307 / 62,992 / 72,938
Confidence
50%
45→50
Strategy HOLD; MTF conditions not met; Macro RISK-ON
ETH-USD
GCS · 1h
1,920.96
Entry / SL / TP
1,920.96 / 1,892.15 / 2,017.01
Confidence
85%
77→85
RISK-ON, Crypto Bull, GCS bullish signal. HOLDing.
XRP-USD
AI_VWAP · 1h
1.1417
Entry / SL / TP
1.1417 / 1.0696 / 1.2860
Confidence
77%
70→77
RISK-ON macro, BULL crypto, BUY signal
SOL-USD
AI_VWAP · 4h
77.9800
Entry / SL / TP
77.9800 / 72.6047 / 88.7305
Confidence
66%
60→66
RISK-ON macro, BULLISH crypto, aligned strategy.
SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5
Strategy Performance — Coming Soon