Daily Briefing · July 20, 2026 · US Market Open

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

July 20, 2026

US Market Open · 23:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +30

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

Buy signals: MELI (82%), ETH-USD (86%). RISK-ON macro, growth market phase, strong sectors, bullish tech. Bullish macro & market, positive GCS signal. Overall macro: RISK-ON (score +30).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +30RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

0.07

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.37

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.70

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.7

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

29 · Fear

Balanced0

DXY

100.9

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.2

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 · Unemp+5 = +30

RISK-ON

Risk appetite elevated — growth assets favored

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-07-20

7,483.82

BULL

+0.1% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (7,478)

ADX12 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

Bitcoin · data 2026-07-20

64,273.34

BULL

+1.3% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (63,423)

ADX23 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

VIX · data 2026-07-20

17.74

Normal

-5.5% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Energy leading

Energy (XLE)

+8.6%×1.05

Financials (XLF)

+5.2%×1.05

Real Estate (XLRE)

+4.6%×1.05

Consumer Staples (XLP)

+2.8%×1.00

Healthcare (XLV)

+8.2%×1.00

Communication (XLC)

+1.3%×1.00

Utilities (XLU)

+1.9%×1.00

Industrials (XLI)

-0.4%×1.00

Materials (XLB)

-2.3%×0.90

Consumer Disc. (XLY)

-1.8%×0.90

Technology (XLK)

-7.4%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalRecovery — Financials·Energy·Industrials leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 2 · SELL 0 · HOLD 8

SPY

GCS · 1d

HOLD

746.11

Entry / SL / TP

746.11 / 734.92 / 775.95

Confidence

55%

50→55

Sideways US market contradicts bullish macro. HOLD.

AAPL

GCS · 1d

HOLD

328.25

Entry / SL / TP

328.25 / 323.33 / 341.38

Confidence

50%

50→50

Sideways market, weak sector.

NVDA

GCS · 1d

HOLD

206.40

Entry / SL / TP

206.40 / 202.27 / 216.72

Confidence

50%

50→50

Gaussian above, rising; RSI neutral; macro bullish; sector not leading, market sideways.

TSM

GCS · 1d

HOLD

405.16

Entry / SL / TP

405.16 / 388.95 / 411.24

Confidence

38%

35→38

Mixed signals; bearish TA outweighs bullish macro.

MELI

GCS · 1d

BUY

1,837.71

Entry / SL / TP

1,837.71 / 1,800.96 / 1,929.60

Confidence

82%

75→82

RISK-ON macro, growth market phase, strong sectors, bullish tech.

005930.KS

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

244,000

Entry / SL / TP

244,000 / 294,480 / 168,281

Confidence

33%

30→33

Bearish KR market, mixed signals, holding strategy.

BTC-USD

MTF_ORDERFLOW · 15m

HOLD

64,384

Entry / SL / TP

64,384 / 61,164 / 70,822

Confidence

44%

40→44

MTF conditions not met. Hold until golden zone or volume imbalance.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

BUY

1,862.52

Entry / SL / TP

1,862.52 / 1,834.58 / 1,955.65

Confidence

86%

78→86

Bullish macro & market, positive GCS signal.

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

HOLD

1.0912

Entry / SL / TP

1.0912 / 1.0234 / 1.2268

Confidence

44%

40→44

Technical HOLD, mixed market, neutral macro/sector.

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

76.2800

Entry / SL / TP

76.2800 / 70.8189 / 87.2022

Confidence

50%

45→50

VWAP downtrend, RSI neutral; HOLD despite BULL crypto market.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP07/20 14:10SELL155.00

ASML07/20 14:10HOLD1,751.82

PBR07/20 14:10HOLD18.0250

VALE07/20 14:10HOLD14.1950

DOGE-USD07/20 14:10HOLD0.072130

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

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Stock Analysis

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