Daily Briefing · July 19, 2026 · Post-US Market [VI]

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

July 19, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +40

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

Tín hiệu mua: ETH-USD (77%). Vĩ mô, tiền điện tử và kỹ thuật đều tăng giá. Vĩ mô tổng thể: RISK-ON (điểm +40).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +40RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

0.07

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.37

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.70

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.7

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

25 · Extreme Fear

Contrarian Buy+10

DXY

100.8

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.2

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 · FG+10 · Unemp+5 = +40

RISK-ON

Khẩu vị rủi ro tăng cao — ưu tiên các tài sản tăng trưởng

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-07-17

7,457.69

BEAR

-0.3% vs MA20 · Weak BEAR

MA20Below (7,479)

ADX12 — Weak

TrendWeak BEAR

Bitcoin · data 2026-07-18

64,690.27

BULL

+2.8% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (62,904)

ADX23 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

VIX · data 2026-07-17

18.77

Normal

+12.2% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Energy leading

Năng lượng (XLE)

+6.3%×1.05

Tài chính (XLF)

+4.5%×1.05

Bất động sản (XLRE)

+4.2%×1.05

Hàng tiêu dùng thiết yếu (XLP)

+2.5%×1.00

Chăm sóc sức khỏe (XLV)

+7.4%×1.00

Truyền thông (XLC)

+1.6%×1.00

Tiện ích (XLU)

+2.2%×1.00

Công nghiệp (XLI)

+0.1%×1.00

Hàng tiêu dùng không thiết yếu (XLY)

+0.2%×0.90

Vật liệu (XLB)

-2.5%×0.90

Công nghệ (XLK)

-5.4%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalRecovery — Financials·Energy·Industrials leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 1 · SELL 0 · HOLD 9

SPY

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

743.29

Entry / SL / TP

743.29 / 760.36 / 717.69

Confidence

46%

42→46

Mixed signals, holding strategy prevails.

AAPL

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

333.74

Entry / SL / TP

333.74 / 350.00 / 309.35

Confidence

41%

41→41

Mixed signals; BEAR market phase dominates, leaning HOLD.

NVDA

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

202.81

Entry / SL / TP

202.81 / 217.77 / 180.37

Confidence

45%

45→45

Conflicting macro/market, weak sector, tech uncertainty.

TSM

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

398.37

Entry / SL / TP

398.37 / 436.76 / 340.78

Confidence

55%

50→55

Mixed signals; technicals suggest HOLD.

MELI

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

1,813.91

Entry / SL / TP

1,813.91 / 1,933.71 / 1,634.21

Confidence

44%

40→44

Bear market, strategy HOLD, RSI neutral.

005930.KS

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

255,000

Entry / SL / TP

255,000 / 306,670 / 177,495

Confidence

50%

45→50

Bear market phase, technical HOLD signal

BTC-USD

MTF_ORDERFLOW · 15m

HOLD

64,750

Entry / SL / TP

64,750 / 61,512 / 71,225

Confidence

50%

45→50

Price above golden zone, strategy HOLD signal.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

BUY

1,862.94

Entry / SL / TP

1,862.94 / 1,835.00 / 1,956.09

Confidence

77%

70→77

Bullish macro, crypto, and technicals.

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

HOLD

1.0949

Entry / SL / TP

1.0949 / 1.0214 / 1.2418

Confidence

55%

50→55

Strategy HOLD, technicals mixed, confidence capped.

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

75.5600

Entry / SL / TP

75.5600 / 69.6555 / 87.3690

Confidence

50%

45→50

Mixed signals, technicals suggest holding strategy.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP07/18 22:06HOLD159.04

ASML07/18 22:06HOLD1,747.58

PBR07/18 22:06HOLD17.9700

VALE07/18 22:06HOLD14.1900

DOGE-USD07/18 22:06HOLD0.072440

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →