Daily Briefing · July 15, 2026 · US Market Open

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

July 15, 2026

US Market Open · 23:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +40

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

Buy signals: ETH-USD (86%). RISK-ON macro, BULLISH market phase, positive signals. BUY. Overall macro: RISK-ON (score +40).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +40RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

0.07

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.40

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.74

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.7

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

25 · Extreme Fear

Contrarian Buy+10

DXY

100.8

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.2

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 · FG+10 · Unemp+5 = +40

RISK-ON

Risk appetite elevated — growth assets favored

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

BULL

S&P 500 · data 2026-07-15

7,575.24

BULL

+1.3% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (7,477)

ADX14 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

Bitcoin · data 2026-07-15

65,123.83

BULL

+4.6% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (62,280)

ADX23 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

VIX · data 2026-07-15

16.21

Normal

-5.5% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Financials leading

Financials (XLF)

+6.2%×1.05

Utilities (XLU)

+3.5%×1.05

Communication (XLC)

+0.6%×1.05

Energy (XLE)

-0.8%×1.00

Healthcare (XLV)

+3.4%×1.00

Real Estate (XLRE)

+0.5%×1.00

Consumer Disc. (XLY)

+0.5%×1.00

Industrials (XLI)

+2.6%×1.00

Technology (XLK)

-0.6%×0.90

Consumer Staples (XLP)

-1.9%×0.90

Materials (XLB)

-2.3%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalRecovery — Financials·Energy·Industrials leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 1 · SELL 0 · HOLD 9

SPY

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

754.92

Entry / SL / TP

754.92 / 737.10 / 790.55

Confidence

55%

50→55

RISK-ON macro, US market BULL. ML VWAP uptrend. AI_VWAP signal: HOLD.

AAPL

MA_ALIGN · 1d

HOLD

322.93

Entry / SL / TP

322.93 / 307.10 / 354.60

Confidence

50%

50→50

MA alignment incomplete; waiting for entry. Macro and market positive.

NVDA

MA_ALIGN · 1d

HOLD

210.64

Entry / SL / TP

210.64 / 204.03 / 223.86

Confidence

45%

45→45

MA alignment incomplete, awaiting stronger signal.

TSM

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

422.73

Entry / SL / TP

422.73 / 388.92 / 490.37

Confidence

55%

50→55

Hold signal: ML VWAP up, RSI neutral. Macro & market bullish.

MELI

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

1,856.15

Entry / SL / TP

1,856.15 / 1,738.90 / 2,090.65

Confidence

50%

45→50

Mixed signals, strategy HOLD signal

005930.KS

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

279,500

Entry / SL / TP

279,500 / 330,991 / 202,263

Confidence

55%

50→55

Technical HOLD, EMA200 above (bear market uncertain), Macro RISK-ON.

BTC-USD

MTF_ORDERFLOW · 15m

HOLD

65,210

Entry / SL / TP

65,210 / 61,950 / 71,731

Confidence

50%

45→50

MTF conditions not met, holding above golden zone.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

BUY

1,930.48

Entry / SL / TP

1,930.48 / 2,027.00 / 1,901.52

Confidence

86%

78→86

RISK-ON macro, BULLISH market phase, positive signals. BUY.

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

HOLD

1.1282

Entry / SL / TP

1.1282 / 1.0475 / 1.2896

Confidence

55%

50→55

ML VWAP downtrend, below baseline. Macro & Crypto Bull. HOLD signal.

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

78.1900

Entry / SL / TP

78.1900 / 71.9348 / 90.7004

Confidence

50%

45→50

ML VWAP downtrend, neutral RSI. Macro/Crypto bullish but signal HOLD.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP07/15 14:15HOLD157.47

ASML07/15 14:15HOLD1,787.37

PBR07/15 14:14HOLD17.8750

VALE07/15 14:14HOLD14.6250

DOGE-USD07/15 14:13HOLD0.074720

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

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