Daily Briefing · July 15, 2026 · Post-US Market [zh-TW]

指標或術語是新的嗎？了解 UQ 分析如何運作→

ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

July 15, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

RISK-ON

Overall AI Stance · Score +40

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

RISK-ON

BUY訊號：SPY (86%), BTC-USD (66%), ETH-USD (80%)。宏觀/市場看漲。AI_VWAP趨勢正面。RISK-ON宏觀與BULL市場，策略看漲。VWAP背離正常。整體宏觀：RISK-ON（分數+40）。

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +40RISK-ON

Sahm Rule

0.07

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.40

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.74

Normal+5

CPI YoY

3.7

Elevated-5

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

22 · Extreme Fear

Contrarian Buy+10

DXY

100.9

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.2

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-5 · FG+10 · Unemp+5 = +40

RISK-ON

風險偏好升高 — 看好成長型資產

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

BULL

S&P 500 · data 2026-07-14

7,543.59

BULL

+0.9% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (7,475)

ADX14 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

Bitcoin · data 2026-07-14

64,584.01

BULL

+4.2% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (61,992)

ADX24 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

VIX · data 2026-07-14

16.50

Normal

-3.8% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Financials leading

金融 (XLF)

+5.7%×1.05

公用事業 (XLU)

+3.3%×1.05

能源 (XLE)

-0.3%×1.05

醫療保健 (XLV)

+3.4%×1.00

房地產 (XLRE)

-1.1%×1.00

通訊服務 (XLC)

+0.1%×1.00

工業 (XLI)

+2.7%×1.00

科技 (XLK)

-0.5%×1.00

非必需消費品 (XLY)

-0.4%×0.90

必需消費品 (XLP)

-2.1%×0.90

材料 (XLB)

-2.6%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalRecovery — Financials·Energy·Industrials leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 5 · SELL 0 · HOLD 5

SPY

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

751.83

Entry / SL / TP

751.83 / 734.27 / 786.96

Confidence

86%

78→86

Bullish macro/market. AI_VWAP trend positive.

AAPL

MA_ALIGN · 1d

HOLD

314.86

Entry / SL / TP

314.86 / 299.12 / 346.35

Confidence

44%

40→44

MA alignment incomplete. Awaiting confirmation for entry.

NVDA

MA_ALIGN · 1d

HOLD

211.80

Entry / SL / TP

211.80 / 204.07 / 227.25

Confidence

55%

50→55

MA alignment incomplete; waiting for stronger signal.

TSM

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

420.39

Entry / SL / TP

420.39 / 386.76 / 487.65

Confidence

55%

50→55

Strategy is HOLD; confidence capped as per rules.

MELI

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

1,873.88

Entry / SL / TP

1,873.88 / 1,756.85 / 2,107.94

Confidence

50%

45→50

ML VWAP downtrend, RSI high. Macro positive, market mixed.

005930.KS

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

263,000

Entry / SL / TP

263,000 / 315,144 / 184,784

Confidence

55%

50→55

KR BEAR market, technical HOLD, RSI 40.5

BTC-USD

MTF_ORDERFLOW · 15m

BUY

64,574

Entry / SL / TP

64,574 / 61,346 / 71,032

Confidence

66%

60→66

RISK-ON macro & BULL market, Strategy bullish. VWAP divergence OK.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

BUY

1,873.49

Entry / SL / TP

1,873.49 / 1,854.76 / 1,985.90

Confidence

80%

73→80

Bullish macro/market, positive TA signals.

XRP-USD

AI_VWAP · 1h

BUY

1.1055

Entry / SL / TP

1.1055 / 1.0230 / 1.2705

Confidence

72%

65→72

RISK-ON macro, BULL crypto market phase

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

BUY

77.1600

Entry / SL / TP

77.1600 / 70.9872 / 89.5056

Confidence

78%

71→78

Bullish macro, market, and positive signals align.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP07/14 22:07HOLD154.81

ASML07/14 22:07SELL1,775.64

PBR07/14 22:06HOLD17.9200

VALE07/14 22:06HOLD14.5900

DOGE-USD07/14 22:06HOLD0.074210

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →