Daily Briefing · July 14, 2026 · Post-US Market [ID]

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

July 14, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

NEUTRAL

Overall AI Stance · Score +20

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

NEUTRAL

Gambaran umum makro: NETRAL (skor +20).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +20NEUTRAL

Sahm Rule

0.07

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.36

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.73

Normal+5

CPI YoY

4.3

High Inflation-15

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

28 · Fear

Balanced0

DXY

101.3

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.2

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-15 · Unemp+5 = +20

NEUTRAL

Sinyal beragam — keseimbangan posisi direkomendasikan

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-07-13

7,515.34

BULL

+0.6% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (7,470)

ADX15 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

Bitcoin · data 2026-07-13

63,736.40

SIDEWAYS

+3.0% vs MA20 · Sideways

MA20Above (61,887)

ADX23 — Weak

TrendSideways

VIX · data 2026-07-13

17.16

Normal

+14.2% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Financials leading

Keuangan (XLF)

+6.9%×1.05

Kesehatan (XLV)

+5.2%×1.05

Utilitas (XLU)

+4.5%×1.05

Energi (XLE)

+0.1%×1.00

Barang Konsumsi Pokok (XLP)

-0.1%×1.00

Real Estat (XLRE)

+0.4%×1.00

Komunikasi (XLC)

-0.2%×1.00

Industri (XLI)

+3.2%×1.00

Barang Konsumsi Sekunder (XLY)

-0.0%×0.90

Material (XLB)

-0.9%×0.90

Teknologi (XLK)

-0.9%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalDefensive rotation — Staples·Utilities·Healthcare leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 0 · SELL 0 · HOLD 10

SPY

GCS · 1d

HOLD

749.17

Entry / SL / TP

749.17 / 737.93 / 779.14

Confidence

50%

50→50

Neutral macro, sideways market. Hold strategy.

AAPL

GCS · 1d

HOLD

317.31

Entry / SL / TP

317.31 / 312.55 / 330.00

Confidence

50%

55→50

Neutral macro, sideways market, GCS HOLD signal.

NVDA

GCS · 1d

HOLD

203.53

Entry / SL / TP

203.53 / 213.71 / 199.46

Confidence

40%

45→40

Neutral macro/market, HOLD strategy, adjust confidence.

TSM

GCS · 1d

HOLD

421.58

Entry / SL / TP

421.58 / 427.90 / 404.72

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro, sideways markets, technical HOLD signal.

MELI

GCS · 1d

HOLD

1,867.30

Entry / SL / TP

1,867.30 / 1,829.95 / 1,960.67

Confidence

50%

50→50

Neutral macro, sideways market, HOLD signal

005930.KS

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

254,500

Entry / SL / TP

254,500 / 307,117 / 175,575

Confidence

35%

35→35

Bear market align, but tech HOLD & neutral macro.

BTC-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

63,736

Entry / SL / TP

63,736 / 66,923 / 62,780

Confidence

40%

40→40

Neutral macro, sideways market. Hold as per strategy.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

HOLD

1,812.53

Entry / SL / TP

1,812.53 / 1,903.16 / 1,785.34

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro/market. Hold with defined risk/reward.

XRP-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

1.0867

Entry / SL / TP

1.0867 / 1.1084 / 1.0324

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro, sideways altcoins, RSI < 50

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

77.1100

Entry / SL / TP

77.1100 / 70.9412 / 89.4476

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro, sideways market. Holding for clearer trend.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP07/13 22:08HOLD159.97

ASML07/13 22:07HOLD1,726.04

PBR07/13 22:07HOLD17.8800

VALE07/13 22:07HOLD14.1800

DOGE-USD07/13 22:07HOLD0.073020

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →