Daily Briefing · July 13, 2026 · US Market Open

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

July 13, 2026

US Market Open · 23:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

NEUTRAL

Overall AI Stance · Score +20

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

NEUTRAL

Overall macro: NEUTRAL (score +20).

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +20NEUTRAL

Sahm Rule

0.07

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.35

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.71

Normal+5

CPI YoY

4.3

High Inflation-15

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

28 · Fear

Balanced0

DXY

101.0

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.2

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-15 · Unemp+5 = +20

NEUTRAL

Mixed signals — balanced positioning recommended

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-07-13

7,563.17

BULL

+1.2% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (7,472)

ADX15 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

Bitcoin · data 2026-07-13

63,995.74

SIDEWAYS

+3.4% vs MA20 · Sideways

MA20Above (61,900)

ADX23 — Weak

TrendSideways

VIX · data 2026-07-13

16.31

Normal

+8.5% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Financials leading

Financials (XLF)

+6.7%×1.05

Healthcare (XLV)

+5.6%×1.05

Utilities (XLU)

+4.6%×1.05

Consumer Staples (XLP)

+0.7%×1.00

Industrials (XLI)

+4.0%×1.00

Real Estate (XLRE)

+0.6%×1.00

Communication (XLC)

+0.5%×1.00

Energy (XLE)

-0.9%×1.00

Consumer Disc. (XLY)

+0.8%×0.90

Materials (XLB)

+0.2%×0.90

Technology (XLK)

-0.2%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalDefensive rotation — Staples·Utilities·Healthcare leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 0 · SELL 0 · HOLD 10

SPY

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

753.23

Entry / SL / TP

753.23 / 735.59 / 788.51

Confidence

50%

50→50

AI_VWAP HOLD signal, neutral macro, bull market

AAPL

MA_ALIGN · 1d

HOLD

321.36

Entry / SL / TP

321.36 / 305.30 / 353.50

Confidence

36%

40→36

MA alignment incomplete, awaiting clearer entry signal.

NVDA

MA_ALIGN · 1d

HOLD

208.73

Entry / SL / TP

208.73 / 203.96 / 218.26

Confidence

32%

36→32

MA alignment incomplete, waiting for stronger signal.

TSM

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

427.71

Entry / SL / TP

427.71 / 393.49 / 496.14

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro, mixed market signals, holding position.

MELI

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

1,870.79

Entry / SL / TP

1,870.79 / 1,753.52 / 2,105.32

Confidence

45%

45→45

ML VWAP down trend, RSI 70.3. Macro neutral, US market Bull. Strategy HOLD.

005930.KS

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

254,500

Entry / SL / TP

254,500 / 307,117 / 175,575

Confidence

35%

35→35

Tech signal HOLD, EMA200 above price-uncertainty, hold cash in BEAR market.

BTC-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

63,996

Entry / SL / TP

63,996 / 67,196 / 63,036

Confidence

50%

50→50

GCS signal HOLD. Gaussian above center, crypto sideways, neutral macro.

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

HOLD

1,810.44

Entry / SL / TP

1,810.44 / 1,900.96 / 1,783.28

Confidence

50%

50→50

GCS HOLD signal; crypto sideways market; macro neutral, SL/TP provided.

XRP-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

1.0868

Entry / SL / TP

1.0868 / 1.1085 / 1.0325

Confidence

45%

45→45

HOLD. Tech signal 45%, below Gaussian. Macro neutral, crypto sideways.

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

77.5400

Entry / SL / TP

77.5400 / 71.3368 / 89.9464

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro, sideways crypto. ML VWAP down trend. Technical signal is HOLD.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP07/13 14:20HOLD157.68

ASML07/13 14:17HOLD1,743.14

PBR07/13 14:16HOLD17.6250

VALE07/13 14:16HOLD14.3350

DOGE-USD07/13 14:15HOLD0.072910

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →