Daily Briefing · July 13, 2026 · Post-US Market [zh-CN]

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ULTRA QUANT · DAILY BRIEFING

July 13, 2026

Post-US Market · 07:00 KST · 6-Layer AI Analysis

NEUTRAL

Overall AI Stance · Score +20

L6UQ AI Engine · Final JudgementLLM Synthesis · L1×L4 adjusted

NEUTRAL

买入信号：TSM (70%), MELI (90%)。AI_VWAP 看涨趋势，中性宏观/市场 AI_VWAP BUY，强势科技，牛市，中性宏观整体宏观：中性 (评分 +20)。

L1Macro EnvironmentFRED · DXY · Fear&Greed · CPI · FFR · Unemployment

Score +20NEUTRAL

Sahm Rule

0.07

Safe+10

10Y−2Y Spread

0.35

Normal+15

10Y−3M Spread

0.71

Normal+5

CPI YoY

4.3

High Inflation-15

Fed Funds Rate

3.63

Neutral0

Fear & Greed

26 · Fear

Balanced0

DXY

101.0

Neutral0

Unemployment

4.2

Healthy+5

ScoreSahm+10 · Spread+15 · 3M+5 · CPI-15 · Unemp+5 = +20

NEUTRAL

信号不一 — 建议采取平衡的仓位配置

L2Market DirectionS&P500 · BTC · VIX

MIXED

S&P 500 · data 2026-07-10

7,575.39

BULL

+1.5% vs MA20 · Weak BULL

MA20Above (7,463)

ADX16 — Weak

TrendWeak BULL

Bitcoin · data 2026-07-12

63,893.05

SIDEWAYS

+3.3% vs MA20 · Sideways

MA20Above (61,840)

ADX24 — Weak

TrendSideways

VIX · data 2026-07-10

15.03

Normal

-5.1% 1d · Volatility Index

Low< 15

Normal15 – 25

High / Extreme> 25 / > 35

L4Sector StrengthUS 11 Sectors · ETF momentum

Financials leading

金融 (XLF)

+7.0%×1.05

医疗保健 (XLV)

+5.7%×1.05

公用事业 (XLU)

+3.9%×1.05

非必需消费 (XLY)

+3.5%×1.00

工业 (XLI)

+7.5%×1.00

科技 (XLK)

+5.3%×1.00

房地产 (XLRE)

-0.3%×1.00

必需消费 (XLP)

-0.9%×1.00

通信 (XLC)

+0.8%×0.90

能源 (XLE)

-4.8%×0.90

材料 (XLB)

+3.0%×0.90

L4 Rotation SignalDefensive rotation — Staples·Utilities·Healthcare leading

L5Strategy SignalsAI-optimized per ticker· GCS · MA_ALIGN · AI_VWAP · MTF

BUY 2 · SELL 0 · HOLD 8

SPY

AI_VWAP · 1d

HOLD

754.95

Entry / SL / TP

754.95 / 736.42 / 792.02

Confidence

50%

50→50

Neutral macro, BULL market, AI_VWAP HOLD

AAPL

MA_ALIGN · 1d

HOLD

315.32

Entry / SL / TP

315.32 / 299.55 / 346.85

Confidence

40%

40→40

MA alignment incomplete, waiting for entry. Neutral macro.

NVDA

MA_ALIGN · 1d

HOLD

210.96

Entry / SL / TP

210.96 / 203.77 / 225.34

Confidence

40%

40→40

MA alignment incomplete, awaiting stronger signal.

TSM

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

434.11

Entry / SL / TP

434.11 / 399.38 / 503.57

Confidence

70%

70→70

AI_VWAP bullish trend, neutral macro/market

MELI

AI_VWAP · 1d

BUY

1,852.22

Entry / SL / TP

1,852.22 / 1,704.04 / 2,148.58

Confidence

90%

90→90

AI_VWAP BUY, strong tech, bull mkt, neutral macro

005930.KS

BEAR_DEFENSE · 1d

HOLD

285,000

Entry / SL / TP

285,000 / 335,587 / 209,119

Confidence

35%

35→35

Neutral macro, BEAR market & HOLD signal. Max confidence 50%.

BTC-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

63,666

Entry / SL / TP

63,666 / 62,711 / 66,850

Confidence

50%

50→50

Neutral macro/crypto, sideways market

ETH-USD

GCS · 1h

HOLD

1,800.60

Entry / SL / TP

1,800.60 / 1,773.59 / 1,890.63

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro, sideways crypto phase. Holding position.

XRP-USD

GCS · 4h

HOLD

1.0885

Entry / SL / TP

1.0885 / 1.1103 / 1.0341

Confidence

45%

45→45

Neutral macro, sideways crypto, RSI below 50.

SOL-USD

AI_VWAP · 4h

HOLD

76.6000

Entry / SL / TP

76.6000 / 70.4720 / 88.8560

Confidence

45%

45→45

AI analysis temporarily unavailable. Signal data based on L1–L5 indicators.

SIGNAL HISTORY — Recent 5

SAP07/12 22:05HOLD157.86

ASML07/12 22:05HOLD1,797.32

PBR07/12 22:05HOLD17.3200

VALE07/12 22:05HOLD14.4600

DOGE-USD07/12 22:05HOLD0.072640

Strategy Performance — Coming Soon

Market Analysis

L1 · L2 · L4 deep dive →

Stock Analysis

All signals · 50+ tickers →